Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 72-75°F for Austin on May 2, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing cooler conditions in the 60s to low 70s over the weekend due to a frontal system ushering cold air advection and scattered showers. This below-normal outlook—versus early May climatological averages near 83°F—stems from persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs converging on mid-70s peaks amid upper-level troughing. The 44.5% odds for 74°F or higher capture potential for partial clearing or front stalling, while lower bins account for heavier rain risks; new 00Z model updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 2?
74°F or higher 53%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 9%
NEW
$41,010 Vol.
NEW
$41,010 Vol.
May 2, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
53%
74°F or higher 53%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 9%
NEW
$41,010 Vol.
NEW
$41,010 Vol.
May 2, 2026
55°F or below
$9,804 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$5,910 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,766 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$6,924 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,858 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,018 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,125 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$889 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$1,332 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$1,372 Vol.
31%
74°F or higher
$2,345 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 72-75°F for Austin on May 2, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing cooler conditions in the 60s to low 70s over the weekend due to a frontal system ushering cold air advection and scattered showers. This below-normal outlook—versus early May climatological averages near 83°F—stems from persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs converging on mid-70s peaks amid upper-level troughing. The 44.5% odds for 74°F or higher capture potential for partial clearing or front stalling, while lower bins account for heavier rain risks; new 00Z model updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$41,010End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 72-75°F for Austin on May 2, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing cooler conditions in the 60s to low 70s over the weekend due to a frontal system ushering cold air advection and scattered showers. This below-normal outlook—versus early May climatological averages near 83°F—stems from persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs converging on mid-70s peaks amid upper-level troughing. The 44.5% odds for 74°F or higher capture potential for partial clearing or front stalling, while lower bins account for heavier rain risks; new 00Z model updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,010End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 72-75°F for Austin on May 2, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing cooler conditions in the 60s to low 70s over the weekend due to a frontal system ushering cold air advection and scattered showers. This below-normal outlook—versus early May climatological averages near 83°F—stems from persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances suppressing daytime heating, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs converging on mid-70s peaks amid upper-level troughing. The 44.5% odds for 74°F or higher capture potential for partial clearing or front stalling, while lower bins account for heavier rain risks; new 00Z model updates and morning soundings tomorrow could refine these probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions