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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Collins 78%

Earl Carter 9.7%

Derek Dooley 7.8%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$596,467 Vol.

Mike Collins 78%

Earl Carter 9.7%

Derek Dooley 7.8%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$596,467 Vol.

Mike Collins

$19,858 Vol.

78%

Earl Carter

$257,040 Vol.

10%

Derek Dooley

$256,147 Vol.

8%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$14,777 Vol.

<1%

Rick Temple

$9,293 Vol.

<1%

Christina Loren Clement

$11,980 Vol.

<1%

Reagan Box

$10,775 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

$7,825 Vol.

<1%

Vinson Watkins

$8,772 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Mike Collins holds a commanding trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like the April 22-23 InsiderAdvantage survey (27% Collins, 24% Rep. Earl "Buddy" Carter, 16% Derek Dooley) and earlier April polls showing his dominance among likely GOP primary voters. High undecideds (29%) leave room for shifts, but Collins' incumbency advantage as a House member, strong fundraising, and resilience amid attack ads and a heated debate last week—where he sparred with Carter—bolster his frontrunner status. Early voting began April 27 and runs through May 15, with turnout trends potentially influencing the outcome against Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff in November. Carter and Dooley trail as viable challengers in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$596,467
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Mike Collins holds a commanding trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like the April 22-23 InsiderAdvantage survey (27% Collins, 24% Rep. Earl "Buddy" Carter, 16% Derek Dooley) and earlier April polls showing his dominance among likely GOP primary voters. High undecideds (29%) leave room for shifts, but Collins' incumbency advantage as a House member, strong fundraising, and resilience amid attack ads and a heated debate last week—where he sparred with Carter—bolster his frontrunner status. Early voting began April 27 and runs through May 15, with turnout trends potentially influencing the outcome against Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff in November. Carter and Dooley trail as viable challengers in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$596,467
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 78%, followed by "Earl Carter" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $596.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Earl Carter" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.