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Politics·Primaries

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mark Baisley 94.6%

Janak Joshi 2.4%

Dathan Jones 1.8%

George Washington Markert 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,794 Vol.

Mark Baisley 94.6%

Janak Joshi 2.4%

Dathan Jones 1.8%

George Washington Markert 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,794 Vol.

Mark Baisley

$11,013 Vol.

95%

Janak Joshi

$2,432 Vol.

2%

Dathan Jones

$1,592 Vol.

2%

George Washington Markert

$2,758 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mark Baisley holds a commanding 94.6% implied probability as the Colorado Republican U.S. Senate primary winner after securing the top ballot line at the GOP state assembly in Pueblo on April 11, reflecting strong party support and positioning him as the presumptive nominee ahead of the June 30 primary. In Colorado's hybrid primary system, assembly endorsement—requiring 30% support—provides a significant edge in low-turnout races, where voters often default to the top-listed candidate. Challengers Janak Joshi, Dathan Jones, and George Washington Markert qualified via petition signatures but lack comparable backing or resources. Trader consensus prices in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, major endorsement shift, or fundraising surge by underdogs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$17,794
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mark Baisley holds a commanding 94.6% implied probability as the Colorado Republican U.S. Senate primary winner after securing the top ballot line at the GOP state assembly in Pueblo on April 11, reflecting strong party support and positioning him as the presumptive nominee ahead of the June 30 primary. In Colorado's hybrid primary system, assembly endorsement—requiring 30% support—provides a significant edge in low-turnout races, where voters often default to the top-listed candidate. Challengers Janak Joshi, Dathan Jones, and George Washington Markert qualified via petition signatures but lack comparable backing or resources. Trader consensus prices in minimal upset risk barring a late scandal, major endorsement shift, or fundraising surge by underdogs.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$17,794
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Baisley" at 95%, followed by "Janak Joshi" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $17.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mark Baisley" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janak Joshi" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.