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Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alexander Vindman 83.9%

Jared Moskowitz 5.3%

Charlie Crist 2.4%

Angie Nixon 1.3%

Polymarket

$134,682 Vol.

Alexander Vindman 83.9%

Jared Moskowitz 5.3%

Charlie Crist 2.4%

Angie Nixon 1.3%

Polymarket

$134,682 Vol.

Alexander Vindman

$35,007 Vol.

84%

Jared Moskowitz

$49,401 Vol.

5%

Charlie Crist

$2,467 Vol.

2%

Angie Nixon

$2,091 Vol.

1%

Joey Atkins

$2,369 Vol.

1%

Josh Weil

$5,576 Vol.

10%

Alan Grayson

$2,073 Vol.

1%

Jennifer Jenkins

$35,698 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman's commanding 78% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his high-profile official filing on April 22, blockbuster $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul, and endorsement from Democrat Hector Mujica, who dropped his bid earlier this month. Qualifying closed last Friday, solidifying a field where Vindman holds clear advantages in name recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony and national donor support ahead of the August 18 primary. Josh Weil trails at 10% buoyed by progressive backing despite prior health-related withdrawal considerations, while Rep. Jared Moskowitz (6%) and ex-Gov. Charlie Crist (2.5%) lag on fundraising and momentum, per trader consensus reflecting recent campaign tours in Tampa and Orlando.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$134,682
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman's commanding 78% implied probability in the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his high-profile official filing on April 22, blockbuster $8.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul, and endorsement from Democrat Hector Mujica, who dropped his bid earlier this month. Qualifying closed last Friday, solidifying a field where Vindman holds clear advantages in name recognition from his Trump impeachment testimony and national donor support ahead of the August 18 primary. Josh Weil trails at 10% buoyed by progressive backing despite prior health-related withdrawal considerations, while Rep. Jared Moskowitz (6%) and ex-Gov. Charlie Crist (2.5%) lag on fundraising and momentum, per trader consensus reflecting recent campaign tours in Tampa and Orlando.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$134,682
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Vindman" at 84%, followed by "Josh Weil" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $134.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Alexander Vindman" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Weil" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.