Traders price the June 2026 total near 840–960 tweets as the modal range because recent weekly markets show Elon Musk posting at a sustained pace of roughly 30–35 times per day on X, a rate consistent with tracker data and extrapolated across 30 days. This baseline reflects routine engagement with company updates, product announcements, and platform commentary rather than sustained spikes. The wide dispersion across bins stems from high day-to-day variability tied to discrete catalysts such as Starship flight tests, Tesla earnings, xAI milestones, or regulatory developments that can lift daily volume by 50 percent or more. Conversely, travel schedules or lower-news periods can compress output. Outcomes above 1,000 or below 700 remain live because any single high-impact event cluster or quiet stretch can shift the monthly tally by several hundred posts before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated840-879 15%
1000-1039 13%
880-919 13%
920-959 13%
<400
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
4%
500-519
5%
520-539
5%
540-559
5%
560-579
5%
580-599
4%
600-639
6%
640-679
10%
680-719
8%
720-759
10%
760-799
9%
800-839
9%
840-879
15%
880-919
13%
920-959
13%
960-999
10%
1000-1039
13%
1040-1079
11%
1080-1119
12%
1120-1159
11%
1160-1199
3%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
4%
1360-1399
4%
1400+
2%
840-879 15%
1000-1039 13%
880-919 13%
920-959 13%
<400
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
4%
500-519
5%
520-539
5%
540-559
5%
560-579
5%
580-599
4%
600-639
6%
640-679
10%
680-719
8%
720-759
10%
760-799
9%
800-839
9%
840-879
15%
880-919
13%
920-959
13%
960-999
10%
1000-1039
13%
1040-1079
11%
1080-1119
12%
1120-1159
11%
1160-1199
3%
1200-1239
5%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
4%
1360-1399
4%
1400+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the June 2026 total near 840–960 tweets as the modal range because recent weekly markets show Elon Musk posting at a sustained pace of roughly 30–35 times per day on X, a rate consistent with tracker data and extrapolated across 30 days. This baseline reflects routine engagement with company updates, product announcements, and platform commentary rather than sustained spikes. The wide dispersion across bins stems from high day-to-day variability tied to discrete catalysts such as Starship flight tests, Tesla earnings, xAI milestones, or regulatory developments that can lift daily volume by 50 percent or more. Conversely, travel schedules or lower-news periods can compress output. Outcomes above 1,000 or below 700 remain live because any single high-impact event cluster or quiet stretch can shift the monthly tally by several hundred posts before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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