Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as the market’s clearest favorites for the June 11-13 window. Recent analysis shows his daily volume has fluctuated between roughly 25 and 60 posts amid a mix of political commentary, company updates, and replies, producing three-day totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 100s when activity stays steady. No major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or high-profile political developments are scheduled for the period that would reliably drive elevated engagement, keeping the implied probability concentrated on baseline output. Traders are pricing in the possibility of a quieter stretch or slight uptick from routine interactions, while higher brackets remain long shots absent an unexpected catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 51%
65-89 35%
<40 10%
90-114 5.0%
NEW
$11,981 Vol.
NEW
$11,981 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
<40
10%
40-64
51%
65-89
35%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 35%
<40 10%
90-114 5.0%
NEW
$11,981 Vol.
NEW
$11,981 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
<40
$423 Vol.
10%
40-64
$62 Vol.
51%
65-89
$108 Vol.
35%
90-114
$322 Vol.
5%
115-139
$601 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,272 Vol.
1%
165-189
$685 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$471 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$699 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as the market’s clearest favorites for the June 11-13 window. Recent analysis shows his daily volume has fluctuated between roughly 25 and 60 posts amid a mix of political commentary, company updates, and replies, producing three-day totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 100s when activity stays steady. No major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or high-profile political developments are scheduled for the period that would reliably drive elevated engagement, keeping the implied probability concentrated on baseline output. Traders are pricing in the possibility of a quieter stretch or slight uptick from routine interactions, while higher brackets remain long shots absent an unexpected catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$11,981End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as the market’s clearest favorites for the June 11-13 window. Recent analysis shows his daily volume has fluctuated between roughly 25 and 60 posts amid a mix of political commentary, company updates, and replies, producing three-day totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 100s when activity stays steady. No major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or high-profile political developments are scheduled for the period that would reliably drive elevated engagement, keeping the implied probability concentrated on baseline output. Traders are pricing in the possibility of a quieter stretch or slight uptick from routine interactions, while higher brackets remain long shots absent an unexpected catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,981End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges as the market’s clearest favorites for the June 11-13 window. Recent analysis shows his daily volume has fluctuated between roughly 25 and 60 posts amid a mix of political commentary, company updates, and replies, producing three-day totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 100s when activity stays steady. No major SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings, or high-profile political developments are scheduled for the period that would reliably drive elevated engagement, keeping the implied probability concentrated on baseline output. Traders are pricing in the possibility of a quieter stretch or slight uptick from routine interactions, while higher brackets remain long shots absent an unexpected catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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