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Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

Aug 1

Aug 1

800-839 8.2%

760-799 7.0%

840-879 6.9%

880-919 6.7%

Polymarket

$155,220 Vol.

800-839 8.2%

760-799 7.0%

840-879 6.9%

880-919 6.7%

Polymarket

$155,220 Vol.

<20

$20,897 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$5,932 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$280 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$4,475 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$2,277 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$2,551 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$1,395 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$2,290 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$3,712 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$5,733 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$5,578 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$11,551 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$8,635 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$2,962 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$2,810 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$7,552 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$10,480 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$6,217 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$1,869 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$6,423 Vol.

1%

460-479

$735 Vol.

1%

480-499

$1,661 Vol.

1%

500-519

$946 Vol.

1%

520-539

$1,241 Vol.

1%

540-559

$1,608 Vol.

1%

560-579

$2,020 Vol.

1%

580-599

$1,113 Vol.

2%

600-639

$2,084 Vol.

4%

640-679

$3,899 Vol.

3%

680-719

$1,661 Vol.

6%

720-759

$1,288 Vol.

5%

760-799

$937 Vol.

7%

800-839

$3,592 Vol.

8%

840-879

$1,587 Vol.

7%

880-919

$1,148 Vol.

7%

920-959

$683 Vol.

6%

960-999

$865 Vol.

6%

1000-1039

$904 Vol.

5%

1040-1079

$824 Vol.

4%

1080-1119

$1,286 Vol.

4%

1120-1159

$1,260 Vol.

3%

1160-1199

$1,211 Vol.

2%

1200-1239

$1,714 Vol.

2%

1240-1279

$894 Vol.

2%

1280-1319

$1,853 Vol.

2%

1320-1359

$1,473 Vol.

2%

1360-1399

$935 Vol.

1%

1400+

$2,289 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices the July 2026 outcome in a broad distribution peaking near 800–879 tweets, with no single bucket exceeding 9 percent. This positioning reflects observed monthly variability in Elon Musk’s X activity, which fluctuates with operational demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside responses to breaking news and platform engagement. Recent posting patterns through early June 2026 show consistent daily output that, when extrapolated, aligns with the leading ranges while allowing for spikes or lulls tied to product launches, regulatory developments, or travel schedules. Key differentiators among buckets include sensitivity to sustained high-volume periods versus quieter stretches, with consolidation possible around any single catalyst such as a major earnings cycle or policy announcement that reliably alters daily volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$155,220
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices the July 2026 outcome in a broad distribution peaking near 800–879 tweets, with no single bucket exceeding 9 percent. This positioning reflects observed monthly variability in Elon Musk’s X activity, which fluctuates with operational demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside responses to breaking news and platform engagement. Recent posting patterns through early June 2026 show consistent daily output that, when extrapolated, aligns with the leading ranges while allowing for spikes or lulls tied to product launches, regulatory developments, or travel schedules. Key differentiators among buckets include sensitivity to sustained high-volume periods versus quieter stretches, with consolidation possible around any single catalyst such as a major earnings cycle or policy announcement that reliably alters daily volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$155,220
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "800-839" at 8%, followed by "760-799" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?" has generated $155.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?" is "800-839" at just 8%, with "760-799" close behind at 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.