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icon for Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

icon for Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

May 14

May 14

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 99.2%

BROWN - Chris Brown <1%

Dandelion - Ella Langley <1%

Octane - Don Toliver <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,258 Vol.

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 99.2%

BROWN - Chris Brown <1%

Dandelion - Ella Langley <1%

Octane - Don Toliver <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,258 Vol.

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$8,263 Vol.

99%

BROWN - Chris Brown

$1,058 Vol.

1%

Dandelion - Ella Langley

$460 Vol.

<1%

Octane - Don Toliver

$594 Vol.

<1%

Bully - Ye

$596 Vol.

<1%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen

$494 Vol.

<1%

Arirang - BTS

$599 Vol.

<1%

SWAG - Justin Bieber

$595 Vol.

<1%

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean

$599 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Noah Kahan's The Great Divide commands 99.2% implied probability on Polymarket for the Billboard 200 #1 spot dated May 16, fueled by midweek projections from Hits Daily Double estimating 163,000 equivalent album units in its second week—a robust hold after a blockbuster debut of 389,000 units (including 175,000 pure sales and the year's biggest streaming week for a rock album). All 21 tracks charted on the Hot 100 last week, amplifying fan engagement and radio momentum since its April release. This marks Kahan's first No. 1 and the largest rock debut since 2014, dwarfing rivals like Ella Langley's Dandelion (recently displaced) or new entries from Don Toliver's Octane and Ye's Bully. Upsets remain improbable barring freak late-tracking surges in streams or sales before Thursday's lock, as trader consensus reflects overwhelming multi-metric dominance.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$13,258
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Noah Kahan's The Great Divide commands 99.2% implied probability on Polymarket for the Billboard 200 #1 spot dated May 16, fueled by midweek projections from Hits Daily Double estimating 163,000 equivalent album units in its second week—a robust hold after a blockbuster debut of 389,000 units (including 175,000 pure sales and the year's biggest streaming week for a rock album). All 21 tracks charted on the Hot 100 last week, amplifying fan engagement and radio momentum since its April release. This marks Kahan's first No. 1 and the largest rock debut since 2014, dwarfing rivals like Ella Langley's Dandelion (recently displaced) or new entries from Don Toliver's Octane and Ye's Bully. Upsets remain improbable barring freak late-tracking surges in streams or sales before Thursday's lock, as trader consensus reflects overwhelming multi-metric dominance.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$13,258
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" at 99%, followed by "BROWN - Chris Brown" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16" has generated $13.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16" is "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "BROWN - Chris Brown" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.