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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

May 12

May 12

Apex 81%

Remarkably Bright Creatures 17%

Ladies First 1.4%

Swapped 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex 81%

Remarkably Bright Creatures 17%

Ladies First 1.4%

Swapped 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Apex

Apex

$1,343 Vol.

81%

icon for Remarkably Bright Creatures

Remarkably Bright Creatures

$648 Vol.

17%

icon for Ladies First

Ladies First

$454 Vol.

1%

icon for Swapped

Swapped

$539 Vol.

1%

icon for Black Phone 2

Black Phone 2

$763 Vol.

1%

icon for Green Book

Green Book

$825 Vol.

1%

icon for Roommates

Roommates

$583 Vol.

1%

icon for The Silent Twins

The Silent Twins

$838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gladiator II

Gladiator II

$647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bugonia

Bugonia

$546 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart this week, with Black Phone 2 and Remarkably Bright Creatures edging slightly ahead at 26% implied probabilities amid neck-and-neck streaming metrics for Swapped, Apex, Gladiator II, The Silent Twins, Green Book, and Bugonia. Fresh debuts like Swapped (launched May 1) and Remarkably Bright Creatures have surged on promotional buzz and red-carpet premieres over the past week, challenging holdovers buoyed by word-of-mouth—Black Phone 2 post its $132M theatrical run and Gladiator II's epic appeal—while Roommates and Ladies First trail closely. Daily viewership data shows hours viewed within 10-15% across leaders, hinging on weekend algorithm boosts and genre-driven binges before the weekly chart locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,185
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart this week, with Black Phone 2 and Remarkably Bright Creatures edging slightly ahead at 26% implied probabilities amid neck-and-neck streaming metrics for Swapped, Apex, Gladiator II, The Silent Twins, Green Book, and Bugonia. Fresh debuts like Swapped (launched May 1) and Remarkably Bright Creatures have surged on promotional buzz and red-carpet premieres over the past week, challenging holdovers buoyed by word-of-mouth—Black Phone 2 post its $132M theatrical run and Gladiator II's epic appeal—while Roommates and Ladies First trail closely. Daily viewership data shows hours viewed within 10-15% across leaders, hinging on weekend algorithm boosts and genre-driven binges before the weekly chart locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,185
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apex" at 81%, followed by "Remarkably Bright Creatures" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Apex" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Remarkably Bright Creatures" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.