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icon for Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

icon for Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

Michael 53%

Mortal Kombat 2 24%

The Devil Wears Prada 2 0

Polymarket
NEW

Michael 53%

Mortal Kombat 2 24%

The Devil Wears Prada 2 0

Polymarket
NEW

Michael

$2,221 Vol.

66%

Mortal Kombat 2

$151 Vol.

24%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

$98 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin tracking estimates for the May 8-10 box office frame, with Michael, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Mortal Kombat 2 deadlocked at 41.5% implied probabilities for second place amid a projected dogfight for the top spot. Michael, fresh off a record-shattering $97 million debut and solid $54 million second-weekend hold, eyes a 30% drop to around $38 million in its third frame, buoyed by enduring fan buzz and family appeal on Mother's Day weekend. The Devil Wears Prada 2, surging past the original's opening with $77 million last weekend, anticipates a standard 47% sophomore decline to $41 million, leveraging Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway's star power and female demos. Newcomer Mortal Kombat 2 tracks $38-46 million in its bow, fueled by gamer presales and Thursday previews near $5.5 million, but faces counterprogramming risks. Friday actuals and Saturday walkups will decide the hierarchy, as Sheep Detectives lags at $17 million projections.

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,471
End Date
May 11, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin tracking estimates for the May 8-10 box office frame, with Michael, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Mortal Kombat 2 deadlocked at 41.5% implied probabilities for second place amid a projected dogfight for the top spot. Michael, fresh off a record-shattering $97 million debut and solid $54 million second-weekend hold, eyes a 30% drop to around $38 million in its third frame, buoyed by enduring fan buzz and family appeal on Mother's Day weekend. The Devil Wears Prada 2, surging past the original's opening with $77 million last weekend, anticipates a standard 47% sophomore decline to $41 million, leveraging Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway's star power and female demos. Newcomer Mortal Kombat 2 tracks $38-46 million in its bow, fueled by gamer presales and Thursday previews near $5.5 million, but faces counterprogramming risks. Friday actuals and Saturday walkups will decide the hierarchy, as Sheep Detectives lags at $17 million projections.

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,471
End Date
May 11, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the second most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of May 8 - 10. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 8 - 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael" at 66%, followed by "The Devil Wears Prada 2" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)" is "Michael" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Devil Wears Prada 2" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.