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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$546,491 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$546,491 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$20,428 Vol.

92%

icon for Israel

Israel

$24,061 Vol.

83%

icon for France

France

$28,232 Vol.

82%

icon for Greece

Greece

$23,891 Vol.

81%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$35,261 Vol.

78%

icon for Australia

Australia

$19,300 Vol.

77%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$35,226 Vol.

69%

icon for Italy

Italy

$21,562 Vol.

66%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$3,406 Vol.

64%

icon for Romania

Romania

$22,768 Vol.

63%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$53,022 Vol.

44%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$19,410 Vol.

40%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$5,952 Vol.

32%

icon for Malta

Malta

$30,062 Vol.

32%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$20,389 Vol.

29%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$33,045 Vol.

29%

icon for Albania

Albania

$1,605 Vol.

24%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$1,749 Vol.

17%

icon for Norway

Norway

$8,072 Vol.

17%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$52,392 Vol.

16%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$18,044 Vol.

16%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$7,342 Vol.

11%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$1,688 Vol.

11%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,131 Vol.

9%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$8,690 Vol.

8%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$1,031 Vol.

7%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$1,804 Vol.

7%

icon for Austria

Austria

$3,115 Vol.

6%

icon for Germany

Germany

$17,365 Vol.

6%

icon for Poland

Poland

$2,548 Vol.

6%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$6,357 Vol.

6%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$2,070 Vol.

5%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$6,714 Vol.

3%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$2,636 Vol.

3%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$3,453 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As rehearsals commence May 2 in Vienna for the 70th Eurovision Song Contest, hosted by Austria's ORF at the Wiener Stadthalle, trader sentiment hinges on frontrunners boasting strong national final receptions and preview buzz, led by Finland's violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen with their genre-blending entry. Greece's Akylas-Ferto duo, France's Monroe, and Israel's Noam Bettan-Michelle also command attention for catchy hooks and staging promise, alongside Nordic and Balkan contenders leveraging televote diaspora strength. Recent rehearsal schedule and semi-final running order releases intensify focus, as first snippets could ignite momentum shifts before Semi-Finals on May 12/14 and Grand Final May 16, where jury votes and live execution often upend previews.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$546,491
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As rehearsals commence May 2 in Vienna for the 70th Eurovision Song Contest, hosted by Austria's ORF at the Wiener Stadthalle, trader sentiment hinges on frontrunners boasting strong national final receptions and preview buzz, led by Finland's violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen with their genre-blending entry. Greece's Akylas-Ferto duo, France's Monroe, and Israel's Noam Bettan-Michelle also command attention for catchy hooks and staging promise, alongside Nordic and Balkan contenders leveraging televote diaspora strength. Recent rehearsal schedule and semi-final running order releases intensify focus, as first snippets could ignite momentum shifts before Semi-Finals on May 12/14 and Grand Final May 16, where jury votes and live execution often upend previews.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$546,491
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 92%, followed by "Israel" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $546.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.