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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

icon for Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%

Toy Story 5 19.2%

Avengers: Doomsday 14%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 6.0%

Polymarket

$11,559,495 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%

Toy Story 5 19.2%

Avengers: Doomsday 14%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 6.0%

Polymarket

$11,559,495 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$319,691 Vol.

55%

Toy Story 5

$332,628 Vol.

19%

Avengers: Doomsday

$403,600 Vol.

14%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$349,528 Vol.

6%

The Odyssey

$487,832 Vol.

2%

Dune: Messiah

$402,603 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$1,670,434 Vol.

1%

Scream 7

$1,941,524 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$1,801,273 Vol.

1%

Jumanji 3

$550,276 Vol.

1%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$427,323 Vol.

<1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$909,183 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$907,103 Vol.

<1%

Project Hail Mary

$1,056,832 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5% due to its prime July 31 summer tentpole slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and the Spider-Man franchise’s consistent domestic performance history. Toy Story 5 has gained momentum recently to 19.2% on the back of Pixar’s family audience loyalty and strong early tracking for a record June 19 opening, positioning it as the top animated contender. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% amid MCU event expectations tempered by broader competition and recent franchise variability, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 5.8% on animation appeal but faces stiffer live-action rivals. Traders are closely watching summer tracking updates and release proximity as key swing factors for these domestic gross outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,559,495
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5% due to its prime July 31 summer tentpole slot, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and the Spider-Man franchise’s consistent domestic performance history. Toy Story 5 has gained momentum recently to 19.2% on the back of Pixar’s family audience loyalty and strong early tracking for a record June 19 opening, positioning it as the top animated contender. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14% amid MCU event expectations tempered by broader competition and recent franchise variability, while The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 5.8% on animation appeal but faces stiffer live-action rivals. Traders are closely watching summer tracking updates and release proximity as key swing factors for these domestic gross outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,559,495
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 56%, followed by "Toy Story 5" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" has generated $11.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest grossing movie in 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toy Story 5" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.