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icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

May 12

May 12

Swapped 97.8%

Remarkably Bright Creatures 1.4%

Green Book <1%

Apex <1%

Polymarket

$15,251 Vol.

Swapped 97.8%

Remarkably Bright Creatures 1.4%

Green Book <1%

Apex <1%

Polymarket

$15,251 Vol.

icon for Swapped

Swapped

$4,802 Vol.

98%

icon for Remarkably Bright Creatures

Remarkably Bright Creatures

$2,398 Vol.

1%

icon for Green Book

Green Book

$1,322 Vol.

1%

icon for Apex

Apex

$1,858 Vol.

1%

icon for Black Phone 2

Black Phone 2

$751 Vol.

1%

icon for Bugonia

Bugonia

$928 Vol.

1%

icon for The Silent Twins

The Silent Twins

$848 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roommates

Roommates

$677 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ladies First

Ladies First

$796 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gladiator II

Gladiator II

$872 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Swapped commands a commanding 97% implied probability as the top US Netflix movie this week, fueled by its explosive May 1 premiere that racked up 15.5 million views in the first three days—Netflix's biggest animated opening of 2026—and sustained daily #1 dominance on US top 10 charts through May 8. The Skydance Animation family adventure, voiced by Michael B. Jordan and directed by Tangled's Nathan Greno, benefits from strong word-of-mouth, colorful visuals, and broad appeal amid light competition from holdovers like Apex. Trader consensus reflects its multi-week momentum, but an upset remains possible if newcomer Remarkably Bright Creatures (Sally Field drama, released May 8) surges via prestige buzz or weekend family viewing boosts legacy titles like Green Book before the May 12 weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$15,251
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Swapped commands a commanding 97% implied probability as the top US Netflix movie this week, fueled by its explosive May 1 premiere that racked up 15.5 million views in the first three days—Netflix's biggest animated opening of 2026—and sustained daily #1 dominance on US top 10 charts through May 8. The Skydance Animation family adventure, voiced by Michael B. Jordan and directed by Tangled's Nathan Greno, benefits from strong word-of-mouth, colorful visuals, and broad appeal amid light competition from holdovers like Apex. Trader consensus reflects its multi-week momentum, but an upset remains possible if newcomer Remarkably Bright Creatures (Sally Field drama, released May 8) surges via prestige buzz or weekend family viewing boosts legacy titles like Green Book before the May 12 weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$15,251
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swapped" at 98%, followed by "Remarkably Bright Creatures" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Swapped" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Remarkably Bright Creatures" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.