Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a $15-18 million opening weekend for The Sheep Detectives at 51.5% implied probability, closely trailed by $12-15 million at 37%, driven by solid early box office signals including $1.03 million in Thursday previews and a $4.01 million Friday gross from 3,457 locations. Hugh Jackman's family-friendly whodunit— Certified Fresh at 93% on Rotten Tomatoes, his highest-rated film—has garnered strong critical praise for its Babe-meets-Knives Out charm, fueling word-of-mouth amid a competitive Mother's Day frame against Mortal Kombat II, Devil Wears Prada 2, and Michael. Saturday family walkups and Sunday holds will be pivotal swing factors before tallies lock on May 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office
15-18m 52%
12-15m 38%
>18m 6.7%
<12m 4.5%
$93,436 Vol.
$93,436 Vol.
<12m
4%
12-15m
38%
15-18m
52%
>18m
7%
15-18m 52%
12-15m 38%
>18m 6.7%
<12m 4.5%
$93,436 Vol.
$93,436 Vol.
<12m
4%
12-15m
38%
15-18m
52%
>18m
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a $15-18 million opening weekend for The Sheep Detectives at 51.5% implied probability, closely trailed by $12-15 million at 37%, driven by solid early box office signals including $1.03 million in Thursday previews and a $4.01 million Friday gross from 3,457 locations. Hugh Jackman's family-friendly whodunit— Certified Fresh at 93% on Rotten Tomatoes, his highest-rated film—has garnered strong critical praise for its Babe-meets-Knives Out charm, fueling word-of-mouth amid a competitive Mother's Day frame against Mortal Kombat II, Devil Wears Prada 2, and Michael. Saturday family walkups and Sunday holds will be pivotal swing factors before tallies lock on May 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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