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icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

May 14

May 14

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 99.0%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo <1%

Doors - Noah Kahan <1%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,489 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 99.0%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo <1%

Doors - Noah Kahan <1%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,489 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$6,932 Vol.

99%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$722 Vol.

1%

Doors - Noah Kahan

$682 Vol.

1%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen

$922 Vol.

1%

Be Her - Ella Langley

$505 Vol.

<1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$390 Vol.

<1%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$742 Vol.

<1%

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$593 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands a 98.8% implied probability to top the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of May 16, fueled by its rebound to No. 1 on the May 9 chart for an eighth nonconsecutive week, backed by dominant streaming, sales, and radio airplay metrics that outpace rivals by wide margins. The country crossover smash benefits from Ella Langley's chart dominance, with three tracks—including "Be Her" and her Morgan Wallen duet—in the current top 10, amplifying catalog streams and fan engagement. Traders' strong consensus reflects sustained momentum since its record-breaking run as the longest-leading female country No. 1 debut. Upsets remain unlikely barring viral surges for challengers like Noah Kahan's "Doors" (new at No. 9) or Olivia Rodrigo's fading "Drop Dead," with the tracking week ending May 14 as the final window for shifts.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$11,489
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands a 98.8% implied probability to top the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of May 16, fueled by its rebound to No. 1 on the May 9 chart for an eighth nonconsecutive week, backed by dominant streaming, sales, and radio airplay metrics that outpace rivals by wide margins. The country crossover smash benefits from Ella Langley's chart dominance, with three tracks—including "Be Her" and her Morgan Wallen duet—in the current top 10, amplifying catalog streams and fan engagement. Traders' strong consensus reflects sustained momentum since its record-breaking run as the longest-leading female country No. 1 debut. Upsets remain unlikely barring viral surges for challengers like Noah Kahan's "Doors" (new at No. 9) or Olivia Rodrigo's fading "Drop Dead," with the tracking week ending May 14 as the final window for shifts.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$11,489
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 16, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 99%, followed by "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.