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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

May 12

May 12

Should I Marry A Murderer? 20%

Man on Fire 19%

Legends 8%

Running Point 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Should I Marry A Murderer? 20%

Man on Fire 19%

Legends 8%

Running Point 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Should I Marry A Murderer?

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$278 Vol.

20%

icon for Man on Fire

Man on Fire

$71 Vol.

19%

icon for Legends

Legends

$160 Vol.

10%

icon for Running Point

Running Point

$396 Vol.

3%

icon for The Roast of Kevin Hart

The Roast of Kevin Hart

$388 Vol.

3%

icon for The Chestnut Man

The Chestnut Man

$193 Vol.

3%

icon for Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine

Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine

$347 Vol.

2%

icon for Lord of the Flies

Lord of the Flies

$519 Vol.

2%

icon for Unchosen

Unchosen

$223 Vol.

1%

icon for The Boroughs

The Boroughs

$517 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin race for the #2 global Netflix TV spot this week, with Lord of the Flies, Man on Fire, and Unchosen deadlocked at 26.5% implied probability amid overlapping premieres fueling volatile streaming metrics. Man on Fire's action-packed reboot, starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, surged to #1 in nearly 50 countries post-April 30 debut, displacing Unchosen's 10.4 million-view thriller launch from April 21, while Lord of the Flies' dystopian adaptation earned 94% critics' acclaim since May 4 U.S. drop. Running Point Season 2 (Kate Hudson comedy, April 23) and Should I Marry A Murderer? true-crime doc hold strong with binge momentum and international appeal, but weekend viewership surges or social buzz could tip the scales before Netflix's weekly Top 10 locks.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,093
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin race for the #2 global Netflix TV spot this week, with Lord of the Flies, Man on Fire, and Unchosen deadlocked at 26.5% implied probability amid overlapping premieres fueling volatile streaming metrics. Man on Fire's action-packed reboot, starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, surged to #1 in nearly 50 countries post-April 30 debut, displacing Unchosen's 10.4 million-view thriller launch from April 21, while Lord of the Flies' dystopian adaptation earned 94% critics' acclaim since May 4 U.S. drop. Running Point Season 2 (Kate Hudson comedy, April 23) and Should I Marry A Murderer? true-crime doc hold strong with binge momentum and international appeal, but weekend viewership surges or social buzz could tip the scales before Netflix's weekly Top 10 locks.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,093
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Should I Marry A Murderer?" at 20%, followed by "Man on Fire" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is "Should I Marry A Murderer?" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Man on Fire" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.