Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

May 12

May 12

Man on Fire 98.6%

Legends <1%

The Roast of Kevin Hart <1%

Running Point <1%

Polymarket

$14,037 Vol.

Man on Fire 98.6%

Legends <1%

The Roast of Kevin Hart <1%

Running Point <1%

Polymarket

$14,037 Vol.

icon for Man on Fire

Man on Fire

$5,415 Vol.

99%

icon for Legends

Legends

$826 Vol.

1%

icon for The Roast of Kevin Hart

The Roast of Kevin Hart

$813 Vol.

1%

icon for Running Point

Running Point

$566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Unchosen

Unchosen

$469 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Chestnut Man

The Chestnut Man

$1,020 Vol.

<1%

icon for Should I Marry A Murderer?

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lord of the Flies

Lord of the Flies

$3,264 Vol.

<1%

icon for Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine

Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine

$406 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Boroughs

The Boroughs

$729 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire commands a commanding 97% implied probability as the top global Netflix show this week, fueled by its explosive debut that racked up 11 million views in just four days, securing the #1 spot on Netflix's weekly Global Top 10 TV chart ahead of Should I Marry A Murderer? at 10.6 million. Starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a high-octane adaptation of the classic thriller, the series has ignited viewer passion worldwide, topping charts in 22 countries and benefiting from Chernin Entertainment's dual chart dominance alongside film Apex. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable streaming lead with days left in the tracking week, though a viral surge from tomorrow's live Roast of Kevin Hart or late momentum for Legends could spark a rare upset if word-of-mouth shifts dramatically.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$14,037
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire commands a commanding 97% implied probability as the top global Netflix show this week, fueled by its explosive debut that racked up 11 million views in just four days, securing the #1 spot on Netflix's weekly Global Top 10 TV chart ahead of Should I Marry A Murderer? at 10.6 million. Starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a high-octane adaptation of the classic thriller, the series has ignited viewer passion worldwide, topping charts in 22 countries and benefiting from Chernin Entertainment's dual chart dominance alongside film Apex. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable streaming lead with days left in the tracking week, though a viral surge from tomorrow's live Roast of Kevin Hart or late momentum for Legends could spark a rare upset if word-of-mouth shifts dramatically.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$14,037
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

65%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

25%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

35%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Man on Fire" at 99%, followed by "Legends" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "Man on Fire" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Legends" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.