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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes 43%

Francesca Hong 36.2%

Sara Rodríguez 10%

Zachary Roper 6.1%

Polymarket

$52,326 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 43%

Francesca Hong 36.2%

Sara Rodríguez 10%

Zachary Roper 6.1%

Polymarket

$52,326 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$8,852 Vol.

43%

Francesca Hong

$7,628 Vol.

36%

Sara Rodríguez

$9,437 Vol.

10%

Zachary Roper

$1,625 Vol.

6%

Chris Larson

$8,613 Vol.

5%

Kelda Roys

$2,212 Vol.

4%

David Crowley

$2,927 Vol.

1%

Tom Nelson

$1,615 Vol.

1%

Joel Brennan

$2,142 Vol.

1%

Melissa Agard

$2,178 Vol.

1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,611 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,715 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 43% over state Rep. Francesca Hong at 36%, reflecting his superior name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability edge in the swing state, despite recent Marquette Law School polling (February 2026) showing Hong edging him 14%-11% among decided voters amid 65% undecided. Hong's grassroots momentum—fueled by progressive endorsements like Rep. Ilhan Omar's and viral volunteer events—has narrowed the gap, as highlighted in a leaked GOP memo warning of her general election threat. The crowded field fragments support, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 9.5%; fresh endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could consolidate voters and create separation before the low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$52,326
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 43% over state Rep. Francesca Hong at 36%, reflecting his superior name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability edge in the swing state, despite recent Marquette Law School polling (February 2026) showing Hong edging him 14%-11% among decided voters amid 65% undecided. Hong's grassroots momentum—fueled by progressive endorsements like Rep. Ilhan Omar's and viral volunteer events—has narrowed the gap, as highlighted in a leaked GOP memo warning of her general election threat. The crowded field fragments support, with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 9.5%; fresh endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could consolidate voters and create separation before the low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$52,326
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mandela Barnes" con 43%, seguido de "Francesca Hong" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $52.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Mandela Barnes" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francesca Hong" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.