The tight Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor on August 11 reflects a crowded field of seven candidates following incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term, with recent May polling showing Mandela Barnes at 26 percent, Francesca Hong at 22 percent, and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 15 percent amid substantial undecided voters. Barnes benefits from statewide name recognition as a former lieutenant governor and 2022 U.S. Senate nominee, yet that prior narrow defeat has raised electability questions among some party voters. Hong has gained ground through targeted organizing and a distinct campaign approach, while Rodriguez highlights her current role and general-election strength in a state with narrow partisan margins. The July 28 debate offers a key upcoming opportunity for differentiation, and trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Barnes and Hong nearly even implied probabilities, consistent with the still-fluid contest and limited polling data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMandela Barnes 44%
Francesca Hong 40.8%
Sara Rodríguez 20%
David Crowley 4.1%
$81,640 Vol.
$81,640 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
44%
Francesca Hong
41%
Sara Rodríguez
23%
David Crowley
4%
Missy Hughes
1%
Brett Hulsey
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Mandela Barnes 44%
Francesca Hong 40.8%
Sara Rodríguez 20%
David Crowley 4.1%
$81,640 Vol.
$81,640 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
44%
Francesca Hong
41%
Sara Rodríguez
23%
David Crowley
4%
Missy Hughes
1%
Brett Hulsey
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor on August 11 reflects a crowded field of seven candidates following incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term, with recent May polling showing Mandela Barnes at 26 percent, Francesca Hong at 22 percent, and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 15 percent amid substantial undecided voters. Barnes benefits from statewide name recognition as a former lieutenant governor and 2022 U.S. Senate nominee, yet that prior narrow defeat has raised electability questions among some party voters. Hong has gained ground through targeted organizing and a distinct campaign approach, while Rodriguez highlights her current role and general-election strength in a state with narrow partisan margins. The July 28 debate offers a key upcoming opportunity for differentiation, and trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Barnes and Hong nearly even implied probabilities, consistent with the still-fluid contest and limited polling data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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