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icon for ¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

10% probabilidad
Polymarket

$66,179 Vol.

Sí

10% probabilidad
Polymarket

$66,179 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including Israel's April 29 approval of 126 new units in Jenin and the reestablishment of outposts celebrated by coalition ministers earlier in the month, traders overwhelmingly bet against formal annexation of West Bank territory before 2027, pricing "No" at 90%. Prime Minister Netanyahu's right-wing government has pursued de facto control through land registrations as state property and eased settler land purchases—moves condemned by the US, EU, UK, and Arab states as steps toward annexation—but no Knesset legislation or official sovereignty declaration has advanced amid focus on Gaza operations, Iran ceasefire talks, and Lebanon tensions. International sanctions threats and diplomatic pressures reinforce trader consensus on significant barriers to outright annexation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$66,179
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite accelerated settlement expansions, including Israel's April 29 approval of 126 new units in Jenin and the reestablishment of outposts celebrated by coalition ministers earlier in the month, traders overwhelmingly bet against formal annexation of West Bank territory before 2027, pricing "No" at 90%. Prime Minister Netanyahu's right-wing government has pursued de facto control through land registrations as state property and eased settler land purchases—moves condemned by the US, EU, UK, and Arab states as steps toward annexation—but no Knesset legislation or official sovereignty declaration has advanced amid focus on Gaza operations, Iran ceasefire talks, and Lebanon tensions. International sanctions threats and diplomatic pressures reinforce trader consensus on significant barriers to outright annexation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$66,179
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Anexionará Israel territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" ha generado $66.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" es "¿Anexionará Israel territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.