Trader consensus reflects an 81% implied probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by stalled expansion efforts following Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025—the first since the original pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan. Saudi Arabia, the leading prospective member, has reiterated preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood and Gaza ceasefire progress, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in recent months despite U.S. President Trump's public urgings as late as March 2026. Preliminary discussions involving Azerbaijan, Syria, or Indonesia lack firm timelines or announcements, amid ongoing regional tensions that have tempered momentum, leaving traders skeptical of imminent normalization agreements within the narrow resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$23,785 Vol.
$23,785 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$23,785 Vol.
$23,785 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 81% implied probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by stalled expansion efforts following Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025—the first since the original pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan. Saudi Arabia, the leading prospective member, has reiterated preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood and Gaza ceasefire progress, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in recent months despite U.S. President Trump's public urgings as late as March 2026. Preliminary discussions involving Azerbaijan, Syria, or Indonesia lack firm timelines or announcements, amid ongoing regional tensions that have tempered momentum, leaving traders skeptical of imminent normalization agreements within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$23,785Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 81% implied probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by stalled expansion efforts following Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025—the first since the original pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan. Saudi Arabia, the leading prospective member, has reiterated preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood and Gaza ceasefire progress, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in recent months despite U.S. President Trump's public urgings as late as March 2026. Preliminary discussions involving Azerbaijan, Syria, or Indonesia lack firm timelines or announcements, amid ongoing regional tensions that have tempered momentum, leaving traders skeptical of imminent normalization agreements within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$23,785Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 81% implied probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by stalled expansion efforts following Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025—the first since the original pacts with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan. Saudi Arabia, the leading prospective member, has reiterated preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood and Gaza ceasefire progress, with no diplomatic breakthroughs in recent months despite U.S. President Trump's public urgings as late as March 2026. Preliminary discussions involving Azerbaijan, Syria, or Indonesia lack firm timelines or announcements, amid ongoing regional tensions that have tempered momentum, leaving traders skeptical of imminent normalization agreements within the narrow resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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