Trader consensus assigns a 96.9% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the brief remaining window and absence of active negotiations nearing completion. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following its November 2025 announcement, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, but no subsequent formal entries have advanced. Recent U.S. efforts in May 2026 to link broader normalization—including with Saudi Arabia—to an Iran agreement encountered resistance, with Pakistan explicitly declining and Riyadh reiterating its longstanding condition of progress toward a Palestinian state. Ongoing regional frictions, including military operations in Syria and Lebanon, continue to constrain diplomatic momentum. A last-minute breakthrough announcement remains possible in principle but would require rapid bilateral agreement and public commitment within the narrow timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$63,390 Vol.
$63,390 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$63,390 Vol.
$63,390 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 96.9% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the brief remaining window and absence of active negotiations nearing completion. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following its November 2025 announcement, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, but no subsequent formal entries have advanced. Recent U.S. efforts in May 2026 to link broader normalization—including with Saudi Arabia—to an Iran agreement encountered resistance, with Pakistan explicitly declining and Riyadh reiterating its longstanding condition of progress toward a Palestinian state. Ongoing regional frictions, including military operations in Syria and Lebanon, continue to constrain diplomatic momentum. A last-minute breakthrough announcement remains possible in principle but would require rapid bilateral agreement and public commitment within the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$63,390Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 96.9% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the brief remaining window and absence of active negotiations nearing completion. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following its November 2025 announcement, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, but no subsequent formal entries have advanced. Recent U.S. efforts in May 2026 to link broader normalization—including with Saudi Arabia—to an Iran agreement encountered resistance, with Pakistan explicitly declining and Riyadh reiterating its longstanding condition of progress toward a Palestinian state. Ongoing regional frictions, including military operations in Syria and Lebanon, continue to constrain diplomatic momentum. A last-minute breakthrough announcement remains possible in principle but would require rapid bilateral agreement and public commitment within the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$63,390Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 96.9% probability against any new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the brief remaining window and absence of active negotiations nearing completion. Kazakhstan formalized accession in early 2026 following its November 2025 announcement, and Somaliland pledged to join after Israel's December 2025 recognition, but no subsequent formal entries have advanced. Recent U.S. efforts in May 2026 to link broader normalization—including with Saudi Arabia—to an Iran agreement encountered resistance, with Pakistan explicitly declining and Riyadh reiterating its longstanding condition of progress toward a Palestinian state. Ongoing regional frictions, including military operations in Syria and Lebanon, continue to constrain diplomatic momentum. A last-minute breakthrough announcement remains possible in principle but would require rapid bilateral agreement and public commitment within the narrow timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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