The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$20,024 Vol.
$20,024 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
18%
$20,024 Vol.
$20,024 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,505 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$10,519 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$20,024Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,024Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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