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icon for ¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?

¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?

icon for ¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?

¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?

Janeese Lewis George 90%

Kenyan McDuffie 9%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$144,540 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 90%

Kenyan McDuffie 9%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$144,540 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$12,416 Vol.

90%

Kenyan McDuffie

$31,842 Vol.

9%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$4,387 Vol.

<1%

Karl Racine

$3,404 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Parker

$2,793 Vol.

<1%

Brooke Pinto

$17,583 Vol.

<1%

Muriel Bowser

$3,076 Vol.

<1%

Robert White Jr.

$6,360 Vol.

<1%

Gary Goodweather

$19,983 Vol.

<1%

Brian Schwalb

$3,209 Vol.

<1%

Christina Henderson

$35,516 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mendelson

$3,970 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding position in the June 16 Democratic primary for D.C. mayor, an open-seat race following Muriel Bowser’s retirement and the city’s first use of ranked-choice voting. Traders have priced her at 89.5 percent on the strength of her May polling lead (39 percent first-choice support versus 34 percent for main rival Kenyan McDuffie), record individual donor totals, and strong backing among progressive and tenant-rights voters. McDuffie’s 9 percent share reflects his emphasis on public safety measures such as curfews amid recent debate clashes over crime and endorsements. A late campaign-finance fine against Lewis George and external comments on federal oversight have surfaced in the final days, yet the market consensus continues to treat the contest as effectively decided between the two councilmembers, with all other listed candidates at negligible implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$144,540
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding position in the June 16 Democratic primary for D.C. mayor, an open-seat race following Muriel Bowser’s retirement and the city’s first use of ranked-choice voting. Traders have priced her at 89.5 percent on the strength of her May polling lead (39 percent first-choice support versus 34 percent for main rival Kenyan McDuffie), record individual donor totals, and strong backing among progressive and tenant-rights voters. McDuffie’s 9 percent share reflects his emphasis on public safety measures such as curfews amid recent debate clashes over crime and endorsements. A late campaign-finance fine against Lewis George and external comments on federal oversight have surfaced in the final days, yet the market consensus continues to treat the contest as effectively decided between the two councilmembers, with all other listed candidates at negligible implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$144,540
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janeese Lewis George" con 90%, seguido de "Kenyan McDuffie" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?" ha generado $144.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?" es "Janeese Lewis George" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kenyan McDuffie" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién ganará la Primaria Demócrata de la Alcaldía de D.C. de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.