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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental

AITC 51.9%

BJP 47.7%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$5,141,746 Vol.

AITC 51.9%

BJP 47.7%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$5,141,746 Vol.

icon for AITC

AITC

$2,027,351 Vol.

52%

icon for BJP

BJP

$1,243,007 Vol.

48%

icon for CPI

CPI

$825,317 Vol.

<1%

icon for CPI(M)

CPI(M)

$62,000 Vol.

<1%

icon for INC

INC

$141,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for BGPM

BGPM

$842,350 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With voting completed in West Bengal's two-phase Legislative Assembly elections on April 23 and 29—marked by record 92-93% turnout—trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin edge for incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 51.9% over Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 47.5%, capturing divided exit polls. AITC draws strength from rural strongholds in south Bengal, welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar, and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional appeal, while BJP gains traction in north Bengal and urban areas via anti-incumbency on governance, violence allegations, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi's campaign push. Mixed surveys project AITC at 190-230 seats or BJP closing to 130-150, with vote counting on May 4 poised to resolve the contest amid high uncertainty in key battlegrounds.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volumen
$5,141,746
Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With voting completed in West Bengal's two-phase Legislative Assembly elections on April 23 and 29—marked by record 92-93% turnout—trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin edge for incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 51.9% over Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 47.5%, capturing divided exit polls. AITC draws strength from rural strongholds in south Bengal, welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar, and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's regional appeal, while BJP gains traction in north Bengal and urban areas via anti-incumbency on governance, violence allegations, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi's campaign push. Mixed surveys project AITC at 190-230 seats or BJP closing to 130-150, with vote counting on May 4 poised to resolve the contest amid high uncertainty in key battlegrounds.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volumen
$5,141,746
Fecha de finalización
29 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "AITC" con 52%, seguido de "BJP" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" ha generado $5.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" es "AITC" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "BJP" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Bengala Occidental" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.