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Política·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

icon for ¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
Política·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?

325–339 30%

355+ 28%

340–354 19%

310–324 16.4%

Polymarket

$22,931 Vol.

325–339 30%

355+ 28%

340–354 19%

310–324 16.4%

Polymarket

$22,931 Vol.

<280

$5,930 Vol.

10%

280–294

$2,665 Vol.

4%

295–309

$1,497 Vol.

10%

310–324

$1,255 Vol.

17%

325–339

$1,603 Vol.

30%

340–354

$1,331 Vol.

19%

355+

$8,649 Vol.

28%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polls from state pollsters WCIOM and FOM show United Russia party-list support fluctuating between 27% and 39% in mid-April 2026, down amid rising prices and President Putin's approval rating dipping to 65.6%, fueling trader caution on total seats in the September 20 State Duma election under parallel voting—225 proportional representation above 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts. This clusters odds tightly around 325–355 seats, below the incumbent party's current 325 holdings and 2021's 324, as dominance in single-member races faces tests from economic discontent and war fatigue. Ongoing primaries, with extended registration and public-sector mobilization for 10–14% turnout targets in late May, preview election machinery; stronger results or stabilizing polls could push toward supermajority, while further declines risk sub-325 outcomes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$22,931
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polls from state pollsters WCIOM and FOM show United Russia party-list support fluctuating between 27% and 39% in mid-April 2026, down amid rising prices and President Putin's approval rating dipping to 65.6%, fueling trader caution on total seats in the September 20 State Duma election under parallel voting—225 proportional representation above 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts. This clusters odds tightly around 325–355 seats, below the incumbent party's current 325 holdings and 2021's 324, as dominance in single-member races faces tests from economic discontent and war fatigue. Ongoing primaries, with extended registration and public-sector mobilization for 10–14% turnout targets in late May, preview election machinery; stronger results or stabilizing polls could push toward supermajority, while further declines risk sub-325 outcomes.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$22,931
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "325–339" con 30%, seguido de "355+" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" ha generado $22.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" es "325–339" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "355+" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.