United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 315 seats and a constitutional majority, with recent polls showing its proportional support near 40-50 percent amid a mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. Preparations have centered on internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and a candidate list led by Dmitry Medvedev, while the broader political environment limits non-systemic opposition participation. Trader consensus clusters around 310-354 seats because exact outcomes hinge on district-level results, turnout dynamics, and performance by aligned parties such as New People and LDPR. Recent regional votes and independent surveys indicate steady but not overwhelming backing for the ruling party, leaving room for modest gains or erosion depending on voter mobilization and any late shifts in the managed multi-party field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños ganará Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
340–354 30%
325–339 19%
310–324 16.6%
355+ 16%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
<280
7%
280–294
4%
295–309
6%
310–324
17%
325–339
25%
340–354
30%
355+
16%
340–354 30%
325–339 19%
310–324 16.6%
355+ 16%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
<280
7%
280–294
4%
295–309
6%
310–324
17%
325–339
25%
340–354
30%
355+
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 315 seats and a constitutional majority, with recent polls showing its proportional support near 40-50 percent amid a mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. Preparations have centered on internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and a candidate list led by Dmitry Medvedev, while the broader political environment limits non-systemic opposition participation. Trader consensus clusters around 310-354 seats because exact outcomes hinge on district-level results, turnout dynamics, and performance by aligned parties such as New People and LDPR. Recent regional votes and independent surveys indicate steady but not overwhelming backing for the ruling party, leaving room for modest gains or erosion depending on voter mobilization and any late shifts in the managed multi-party field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes