United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 315 seats and a constitutional majority, with recent polls showing its proportional support near 40-50 percent amid a mixed electoral system of party lists and single-member districts. Preparations have centered on internal restructuring, electronic primaries, and a candidate list led by Dmitry Medvedev, while the broader political environment limits non-systemic opposition participation. Trader consensus clusters around 310-354 seats because exact outcomes hinge on district-level results, turnout dynamics, and performance by aligned parties such as New People and LDPR. Recent regional votes and independent surveys indicate steady but not overwhelming backing for the ruling party, leaving room for modest gains or erosion depending on voter mobilization and any late shifts in the managed multi-party field.