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Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria

icon for Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria

Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria

Iliana Iotova 55%

Nikolai Denkov 19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Boyko Borissov 3.3%

Polymarket

$84,982 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 55%

Nikolai Denkov 19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Boyko Borissov 3.3%

Polymarket

$84,982 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$40,143 Vol.

55%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$6,775 Vol.

19%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$16,794 Vol.

9%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$3,589 Vol.

3%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$1,774 Vol.

1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$2,740 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$2,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$1,857 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$1,626 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$1,639 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$1,866 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$2,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$1,673 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election—its first outright win amid eight votes in five years of deadlock. This stability boosts Iotova's incumbency advantage in Bulgaria's two-round direct election system, where she draws broad support from Radev sympathizers as the continuity candidate eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 19.5% as the We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, reflecting his coalition's 13% parliamentary share, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9% aligns with GERB's weakened 13% result. Fragmented opposition and recent National Assembly convening underscore her frontrunner status ahead of likely October campaigning.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$84,982
Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election—its first outright win amid eight votes in five years of deadlock. This stability boosts Iotova's incumbency advantage in Bulgaria's two-round direct election system, where she draws broad support from Radev sympathizers as the continuity candidate eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 19.5% as the We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, reflecting his coalition's 13% parliamentary share, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9% aligns with GERB's weakened 13% result. Fragmented opposition and recent National Assembly convening underscore her frontrunner status ahead of likely October campaigning.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$84,982
Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Iliana Iotova" con 55%, seguido de "Nikolai Denkov" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" ha generado $85K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" es "Iliana Iotova" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nikolai Denkov" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.