Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election—its first outright win amid eight votes in five years of deadlock. This stability boosts Iotova's incumbency advantage in Bulgaria's two-round direct election system, where she draws broad support from Radev sympathizers as the continuity candidate eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 19.5% as the We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, reflecting his coalition's 13% parliamentary share, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9% aligns with GERB's weakened 13% result. Fragmented opposition and recent National Assembly convening underscore her frontrunner status ahead of likely October campaigning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Elecciones presidenciales de Bulgaria
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
$84,982 Vol.
$84,982 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
9%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 55%
Nikolai Denkov 19%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
$84,982 Vol.
$84,982 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
55%

Nikolai Denkov
19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
9%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Vassil Terziev
1%

Blagomir Kotsev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for the autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her ally Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election—its first outright win amid eight votes in five years of deadlock. This stability boosts Iotova's incumbency advantage in Bulgaria's two-round direct election system, where she draws broad support from Radev sympathizers as the continuity candidate eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 19.5% as the We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria nominee, reflecting his coalition's 13% parliamentary share, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9% aligns with GERB's weakened 13% result. Fragmented opposition and recent National Assembly convening underscore her frontrunner status ahead of likely October campaigning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes