Kareem Allam holds the leading position in the Vancouver mayoral race at 55% trader-implied probability ahead of the October 17, 2026, election, driven by his profile as former ABC Vancouver campaign manager and Ken Sim’s chief of staff, who has launched the Vancouver Liberals as a centrist alternative. Recent polling from late 2025 showed Allam competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups, reflecting support among voters seeking change without shifting far left. Incumbent Ken Sim at 27.5% benefits from name recognition and ABC infrastructure but faces headwinds from defections and a crowded field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity’s William Azaroff, and independents like Rebecca Bligh. Vote-splitting among progressive and moderate challengers remains a key dynamic that could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Vancouver
Kareem Allam 55%
Ken Sim 28%
Pete Fry 10.1%
William Azaroff 4.1%
$82,194 Vol.
$82,194 Vol.

Kareem Allam
55%

Ken Sim
28%

Pete Fry
10%

William Azaroff
4%

John Coupar
1%

Colleen Hardwick
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%
Kareem Allam 55%
Ken Sim 28%
Pete Fry 10.1%
William Azaroff 4.1%
$82,194 Vol.
$82,194 Vol.

Kareem Allam
55%

Ken Sim
28%

Pete Fry
10%

William Azaroff
4%

John Coupar
1%

Colleen Hardwick
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kareem Allam holds the leading position in the Vancouver mayoral race at 55% trader-implied probability ahead of the October 17, 2026, election, driven by his profile as former ABC Vancouver campaign manager and Ken Sim’s chief of staff, who has launched the Vancouver Liberals as a centrist alternative. Recent polling from late 2025 showed Allam competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups, reflecting support among voters seeking change without shifting far left. Incumbent Ken Sim at 27.5% benefits from name recognition and ABC infrastructure but faces headwinds from defections and a crowded field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry, OneCity’s William Azaroff, and independents like Rebecca Bligh. Vote-splitting among progressive and moderate challengers remains a key dynamic that could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes