Recent diplomatic engagement under the second Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward a high likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear agreement before 2027. Multiple rounds of talks since April 2025, including sessions in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through early 2026, produced a draft memorandum covering limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, sanctions relief, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Official statements in June 2026 from US negotiators and President Trump indicate a signing could occur imminently in Europe, with technical details on enrichment timelines and verification still under discussion but viewed as bridgeable. This momentum follows a temporary ceasefire and reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained bilateral progress over the next six months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$2,239,513 Vol.
$2,239,513 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$2,239,513 Vol.
$2,239,513 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic engagement under the second Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward a high likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear agreement before 2027. Multiple rounds of talks since April 2025, including sessions in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through early 2026, produced a draft memorandum covering limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, sanctions relief, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Official statements in June 2026 from US negotiators and President Trump indicate a signing could occur imminently in Europe, with technical details on enrichment timelines and verification still under discussion but viewed as bridgeable. This momentum follows a temporary ceasefire and reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained bilateral progress over the next six months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volumen
$2,239,513Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic engagement under the second Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward a high likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear agreement before 2027. Multiple rounds of talks since April 2025, including sessions in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through early 2026, produced a draft memorandum covering limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, sanctions relief, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Official statements in June 2026 from US negotiators and President Trump indicate a signing could occur imminently in Europe, with technical details on enrichment timelines and verification still under discussion but viewed as bridgeable. This momentum follows a temporary ceasefire and reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained bilateral progress over the next six months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$2,239,584Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic engagement under the second Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward a high likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear agreement before 2027. Multiple rounds of talks since April 2025, including sessions in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through early 2026, produced a draft memorandum covering limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, sanctions relief, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Official statements in June 2026 from US negotiators and President Trump indicate a signing could occur imminently in Europe, with technical details on enrichment timelines and verification still under discussion but viewed as bridgeable. This momentum follows a temporary ceasefire and reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained bilateral progress over the next six months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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