Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 4.5%
Partido Moderado (M) 3.0%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD) <1%
$1,092,849 Vol.
$1,092,849 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
$33,066 Vol.
92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
$512,583 Vol.
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
$378,900 Vol.
3%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
$14,532 Vol.
1%
Liberales (L)
$14,822 Vol.
1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
$15,096 Vol.
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
$13,588 Vol.
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
$16,626 Vol.
<1%
Partido Verde (MP)
$93,638 Vol.
<1%
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 4.5%
Partido Moderado (M) 3.0%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD) <1%
$1,092,849 Vol.
$1,092,849 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
$33,066 Vol.
92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
$512,583 Vol.
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
$378,900 Vol.
3%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
$14,532 Vol.
1%
Liberales (L)
$14,822 Vol.
1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
$15,096 Vol.
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
$13,588 Vol.
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
$16,626 Vol.
<1%
Partido Verde (MP)
$93,638 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 32-33% in surveys from Ipsos, Indikator Opinion, and Novus through late April 2026, roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20% and Moderates (M) at 18%, cementing trader consensus on S as the Riksdag election winner under proportional representation. This commanding lead reflects stable voter support amid the incumbent Tidö government's minority status under Moderate Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite Liberal Party infighting. The September 13 election could see challenges from a SD or M surge, economic shocks, leadership scandals, or pivotal Centre Party shifts altering bloc dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 32-33% in surveys from Ipsos, Indikator Opinion, and Novus through late April 2026, roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20% and Moderates (M) at 18%, cementing trader consensus on S as the Riksdag election winner under proportional representation. This commanding lead reflects stable voter support amid the incumbent Tidö government's minority status under Moderate Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite Liberal Party infighting. The September 13 election could see challenges from a SD or M surge, economic shocks, leadership scandals, or pivotal Centre Party shifts altering bloc dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Sweden Democrats accused of breaking parliamentary protocol in a key vote, damaging their reputation and reinforcing market skepticism about their political reliability
Sweden Democrats accused of breaking parliamentary protocol in a key vote, damaging their reputation and reinforcing market skepticism about their political reliability
Apr 27 2026
Parliamentary dynamics show Social Democrats as the largest party with 106 MPs supporting key opposition bills, signaling their central role in legislative influence and
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Parliamentary dynamics show Social Democrats as the largest party with 106 MPs supporting key opposition bills, signaling their central role in legislative influence and strengthening market confidence in their election prospects
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly opens the door to including the far-right Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, heightening polarization and boosting left-wing
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 90%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly opens the door to including the far-right Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, heightening polarization and boosting left-wing support for Social Democrats as a counterbalance
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (Moderate Party) publicly states intention to form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if elected, clarifying coalition plans
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (Moderate Party) publicly states intention to form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if elected, clarifying coalition plans but triggering voter concerns about stability and far-right influence
Mar 16 2026
Social Democrats recover some support after the initial shock of the Liberals-Sweden Democrats agreement, as opposition parties unify and reaffirm their positions against
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 93%4%
Social Democrats recover some support after the initial shock of the Liberals-Sweden Democrats agreement, as opposition parties unify and reaffirm their positions against far-right influence
Mar 13 2026
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, signaling stronger right-wing bloc unity
Moderate Party (M) rises to 6%2%
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, signaling stronger right-wing bloc unity but complicating Moderate Party's centrist appeal
Mar 13 2026
Polls show a slight dip in Social Democrats' support around mid-March, coinciding with political uncertainty as the Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce a cooperation agreement
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) dips to 89%4%
Polls show a slight dip in Social Democrats' support around mid-March, coinciding with political uncertainty as the Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce a cooperation agreement removing previous red lines against SD, potentially threatening the left bloc
Mar 13 2026
Sweden Democrats and Liberals announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against SD in government, but this deal triggers voter backlash and concerns about
Sweden Democrats (SD) rises to 5%2%
Sweden Democrats and Liberals announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against SD in government, but this deal triggers voter backlash and concerns about stability, limiting SD’s market recovery
Feb 3 2026
Sweden Democrats’ parliamentary group shrinks after two MPs resign amid scandals and defections, weakening party strength and contributing to a market drop to 2%
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 2%5%
Sweden Democrats’ parliamentary group shrinks after two MPs resign amid scandals and defections, weakening party strength and contributing to a market drop to 2%
Jan 29 2026
Latest Ipsos poll confirms Social Democrats firmly in the lead with 34% support, while Sweden Democrats drop slightly to 21%, consolidating Social Democrats' perceived electoral
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Latest Ipsos poll confirms Social Democrats firmly in the lead with 34% support, while Sweden Democrats drop slightly to 21%, consolidating Social Democrats' perceived electoral strength
Dec 16 2025
Sweden enacts stricter citizenship and immigration reforms influenced by Sweden Democrats’ policy agenda, polarizing public opinion and reinforcing a December slump in SD support
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 7%4%
Sweden enacts stricter citizenship and immigration reforms influenced by Sweden Democrats’ policy agenda, polarizing public opinion and reinforcing a December slump in SD support in polls
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, ahead of Sverigedemokraterna at 22% and Moderaterna at 18%, reinforcing the Social Democrats' frontrunner status in the
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) jumps to 87%7%
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, ahead of Sverigedemokraterna at 22% and Moderaterna at 18%, reinforcing the Social Democrats' frontrunner status in the election race
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Sweden Democrats at 22%, trailing Social Democrats at 34%, indicating early market optimism but also a clear lead for the opposition
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 11%11%
Ipsos poll shows Sweden Democrats at 22%, trailing Social Democrats at 34%, indicating early market optimism but also a clear lead for the opposition
Dec 4 2025
Ipsos and Demoskop polls confirm Moderate Party support at around 17-18%, well behind Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, sparking a sharp sell-off of the Moderate Party (M)
Moderate Party (M) plunges to 3%18%
Ipsos and Demoskop polls confirm Moderate Party support at around 17-18%, well behind Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, sparking a sharp sell-off of the Moderate Party (M) outcome in the prediction market
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 32-33% in surveys from Ipsos, Indikator Opinion, and Novus through late April 2026, roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20% and Moderates (M) at 18%, cementing trader consensus on S as the Riksdag election winner under proportional representation. This commanding lead reflects stable voter support amid the incumbent Tidö government's minority status under Moderate Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite Liberal Party infighting. The September 13 election could see challenges from a SD or M surge, economic shocks, leadership scandals, or pivotal Centre Party shifts altering bloc dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 32-33% in surveys from Ipsos, Indikator Opinion, and Novus through late April 2026, roughly double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20% and Moderates (M) at 18%, cementing trader consensus on S as the Riksdag election winner under proportional representation. This commanding lead reflects stable voter support amid the incumbent Tidö government's minority status under Moderate Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, with no major shifts in the past 30 days despite Liberal Party infighting. The September 13 election could see challenges from a SD or M surge, economic shocks, leadership scandals, or pivotal Centre Party shifts altering bloc dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Sweden Democrats accused of breaking parliamentary protocol in a key vote, damaging their reputation and reinforcing market skepticism about their political reliability
Sweden Democrats accused of breaking parliamentary protocol in a key vote, damaging their reputation and reinforcing market skepticism about their political reliability
Apr 27 2026
Parliamentary dynamics show Social Democrats as the largest party with 106 MPs supporting key opposition bills, signaling their central role in legislative influence and
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Parliamentary dynamics show Social Democrats as the largest party with 106 MPs supporting key opposition bills, signaling their central role in legislative influence and strengthening market confidence in their election prospects
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly opens the door to including the far-right Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, heightening polarization and boosting left-wing
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 90%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly opens the door to including the far-right Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, heightening polarization and boosting left-wing support for Social Democrats as a counterbalance
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (Moderate Party) publicly states intention to form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if elected, clarifying coalition plans
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (Moderate Party) publicly states intention to form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if elected, clarifying coalition plans but triggering voter concerns about stability and far-right influence
Mar 16 2026
Social Democrats recover some support after the initial shock of the Liberals-Sweden Democrats agreement, as opposition parties unify and reaffirm their positions against
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 93%4%
Social Democrats recover some support after the initial shock of the Liberals-Sweden Democrats agreement, as opposition parties unify and reaffirm their positions against far-right influence
Mar 13 2026
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, signaling stronger right-wing bloc unity
Moderate Party (M) rises to 6%2%
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against Sweden Democrats in a future coalition, signaling stronger right-wing bloc unity but complicating Moderate Party's centrist appeal
Mar 13 2026
Polls show a slight dip in Social Democrats' support around mid-March, coinciding with political uncertainty as the Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce a cooperation agreement
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) dips to 89%4%
Polls show a slight dip in Social Democrats' support around mid-March, coinciding with political uncertainty as the Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce a cooperation agreement removing previous red lines against SD, potentially threatening the left bloc
Mar 13 2026
Sweden Democrats and Liberals announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against SD in government, but this deal triggers voter backlash and concerns about
Sweden Democrats (SD) rises to 5%2%
Sweden Democrats and Liberals announce "The Sweden Promise" agreement removing red lines against SD in government, but this deal triggers voter backlash and concerns about stability, limiting SD’s market recovery
Feb 3 2026
Sweden Democrats’ parliamentary group shrinks after two MPs resign amid scandals and defections, weakening party strength and contributing to a market drop to 2%
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 2%5%
Sweden Democrats’ parliamentary group shrinks after two MPs resign amid scandals and defections, weakening party strength and contributing to a market drop to 2%
Jan 29 2026
Latest Ipsos poll confirms Social Democrats firmly in the lead with 34% support, while Sweden Democrats drop slightly to 21%, consolidating Social Democrats' perceived electoral
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Latest Ipsos poll confirms Social Democrats firmly in the lead with 34% support, while Sweden Democrats drop slightly to 21%, consolidating Social Democrats' perceived electoral strength
Dec 16 2025
Sweden enacts stricter citizenship and immigration reforms influenced by Sweden Democrats’ policy agenda, polarizing public opinion and reinforcing a December slump in SD support
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 7%4%
Sweden enacts stricter citizenship and immigration reforms influenced by Sweden Democrats’ policy agenda, polarizing public opinion and reinforcing a December slump in SD support in polls
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, ahead of Sverigedemokraterna at 22% and Moderaterna at 18%, reinforcing the Social Democrats' frontrunner status in the
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) jumps to 87%7%
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, ahead of Sverigedemokraterna at 22% and Moderaterna at 18%, reinforcing the Social Democrats' frontrunner status in the election race
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Sweden Democrats at 22%, trailing Social Democrats at 34%, indicating early market optimism but also a clear lead for the opposition
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 11%11%
Ipsos poll shows Sweden Democrats at 22%, trailing Social Democrats at 34%, indicating early market optimism but also a clear lead for the opposition
Dec 4 2025
Ipsos and Demoskop polls confirm Moderate Party support at around 17-18%, well behind Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, sparking a sharp sell-off of the Moderate Party (M)
Moderate Party (M) plunges to 3%18%
Ipsos and Demoskop polls confirm Moderate Party support at around 17-18%, well behind Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, sparking a sharp sell-off of the Moderate Party (M) outcome in the prediction market
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" con 92%, seguido de "Demócratas de Suecia (SD)" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" es "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócratas de Suecia (SD)" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $1.1 million operados en “Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 92¢ para "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 92% de que "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 92¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 8¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Sep 13, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" tiene una discusión creciente de 8 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes