Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats (S) first with 32–34% support and Sweden Democrats (SD) second near 19–20%, positioning the Moderate Party (M) as the most probable third-place finisher ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. The Tidö coalition dynamics, including M-led government statements favoring expanded SD policy influence, have stabilized M’s standing relative to smaller parties while SD polls remain steady but below S. No major late shifts in bloc preferences or turnout indicators have altered these rankings in the past month, though the narrow gaps between SD and M leave room for final campaign movements to affect exact order. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share trends and historical precedent for the three largest parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Left Party (V) 2.9%
Green Party (MP) 1.9%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
3%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
2%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Left Party (V) 2.9%
Green Party (MP) 1.9%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
3%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places the Social Democrats (S) first with 32–34% support and Sweden Democrats (SD) second near 19–20%, positioning the Moderate Party (M) as the most probable third-place finisher ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. The Tidö coalition dynamics, including M-led government statements favoring expanded SD policy influence, have stabilized M’s standing relative to smaller parties while SD polls remain steady but below S. No major late shifts in bloc preferences or turnout indicators have altered these rankings in the past month, though the narrow gaps between SD and M leave room for final campaign movements to affect exact order. Trader consensus reflects these stable vote-share trends and historical precedent for the three largest parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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