Trader consensus on Russia State Duma election turnout remains tightly contested across mid-50s to low-60s bins, reflecting uncertainty five months ahead of the September 18-20 vote amid declining United Russia support in VCIOM polls—from 34% in late 2025 to 27.7% in April 2026—and Kremlin mobilization via public sector quotas for party primaries targeting over 10% participation. Historical turnout near 51% in 2021 sets a baseline, but administrative resources, wartime context, and coerced voting tactics could elevate figures, while war fatigue and economic pressures cap enthusiasm. Key separators include new opinion polls gauging voting intention, primary results signaling turnout machinery, Ukraine conflict escalations impacting public mood, or economic policy announcements before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
62%+ 35%
<47% 34%
56-59% 26%
50-53% 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<47%
34%
47-50%
22%
50-53%
26%
53-56%
23%
56-59%
26%
59-62%
25%
62%+
35%
62%+ 35%
<47% 34%
56-59% 26%
50-53% 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<47%
$140 Vol.
34%
47-50%
$36 Vol.
22%
50-53%
$36 Vol.
26%
53-56%
$36 Vol.
23%
56-59%
$36 Vol.
26%
59-62%
$38 Vol.
25%
62%+
$39 Vol.
35%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus on Russia State Duma election turnout remains tightly contested across mid-50s to low-60s bins, reflecting uncertainty five months ahead of the September 18-20 vote amid declining United Russia support in VCIOM polls—from 34% in late 2025 to 27.7% in April 2026—and Kremlin mobilization via public sector quotas for party primaries targeting over 10% participation. Historical turnout near 51% in 2021 sets a baseline, but administrative resources, wartime context, and coerced voting tactics could elevate figures, while war fatigue and economic pressures cap enthusiasm. Key separators include new opinion polls gauging voting intention, primary results signaling turnout machinery, Ukraine conflict escalations impacting public mood, or economic policy announcements before summer.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Trader consensus on Russia State Duma election turnout remains tightly contested across mid-50s to low-60s bins, reflecting uncertainty five months ahead of the September 18-20 vote amid declining United Russia support in VCIOM polls—from 34% in late 2025 to 27.7% in April 2026—and Kremlin mobilization via public sector quotas for party primaries targeting over 10% participation. Historical turnout near 51% in 2021 sets a baseline, but administrative resources, wartime context, and coerced voting tactics could elevate figures, while war fatigue and economic pressures cap enthusiasm. Key separators include new opinion polls gauging voting intention, primary results signaling turnout machinery, Ukraine conflict escalations impacting public mood, or economic policy announcements before summer.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Russia State Duma election turnout remains tightly contested across mid-50s to low-60s bins, reflecting uncertainty five months ahead of the September 18-20 vote amid declining United Russia support in VCIOM polls—from 34% in late 2025 to 27.7% in April 2026—and Kremlin mobilization via public sector quotas for party primaries targeting over 10% participation. Historical turnout near 51% in 2021 sets a baseline, but administrative resources, wartime context, and coerced voting tactics could elevate figures, while war fatigue and economic pressures cap enthusiasm. Key separators include new opinion polls gauging voting intention, primary results signaling turnout machinery, Ukraine conflict escalations impacting public mood, or economic policy announcements before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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