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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

icon for Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 31.9%

Rafael López Aliaga 2.1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$48,169,532 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 31.9%

Rafael López Aliaga 2.1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$48,169,532 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$5,749,341 Vol.

66%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$11,985,254 Vol.

32%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$10,753,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,306,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$2,097,455 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$642,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$245,646 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$323,947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$205,716 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$142,724 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$161,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$471,540 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$437,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$1,993,297 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$277,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,051,567 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$840,320 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$799,475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$702,464 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-place finish with around 17% in the fragmented April 12-13 first-round vote, marred by ballot delivery delays, extended polling, and fraud claims from rivals. Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place at roughly 16%, advancing both to the June 7 runoff after edging out Rafael López Aliaga and others amid a record 35-candidate field. Late April Ipsos polls show a deadlocked second round at 50-50 or 38-38%, but traders favor Fujimori due to her Fuerza Popular organizational edge, strong Lima support (projected 68%), interior gains, and name recognition from prior runs, while emphasizing the race's volatility ahead of campaigning.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$48,169,532
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-place finish with around 17% in the fragmented April 12-13 first-round vote, marred by ballot delivery delays, extended polling, and fraud claims from rivals. Roberto Sánchez Palomino secured second place at roughly 16%, advancing both to the June 7 runoff after edging out Rafael López Aliaga and others amid a record 35-candidate field. Late April Ipsos polls show a deadlocked second round at 50-50 or 38-38%, but traders favor Fujimori due to her Fuerza Popular organizational edge, strong Lima support (projected 68%), interior gains, and name recognition from prior runs, while emphasizing the race's volatility ahead of campaigning.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$48,169,532
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Keiko Fujimori" con 66%, seguido de "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" ha generado $48.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es "Keiko Fujimori" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.