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icon for Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

icon for Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga 1.1%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Polymarket

$2,446,209 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga 1.1%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Polymarket

$2,446,209 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$832,203 Vol.

99%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$385,576 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$203,492 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$219,390 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$195,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$23,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$20,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$39,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,878 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$19,821 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$24,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$19,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$27,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$41,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$16,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$13,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$17,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$159,155 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$106,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$10,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$8,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$11,193 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus at 99.5% for Peru's presidential election first-round winner stems from official tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), showing her leading with around 17% as over 97% of votes are counted following the April 12-13 balloting. Logistical chaos—delayed ballots, extended voting, and thousands of impugned acts—slowed the count, with the National Electoral Jury (JNE) projecting mid-May proclamation amid rival fraud claims from Rafael López Aliaga supporters. Fujimori's consistent early lead in exit polls and fragmented field solidified her advance to the June 7 runoff, likely against Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Reversal would require improbable shifts in remaining Lima and overseas votes or court rulings overturning results.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$2,446,209
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus at 99.5% for Peru's presidential election first-round winner stems from official tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), showing her leading with around 17% as over 97% of votes are counted following the April 12-13 balloting. Logistical chaos—delayed ballots, extended voting, and thousands of impugned acts—slowed the count, with the National Electoral Jury (JNE) projecting mid-May proclamation amid rival fraud claims from Rafael López Aliaga supporters. Fujimori's consistent early lead in exit polls and fragmented field solidified her advance to the June 7 runoff, likely against Roberto Sánchez Palomino. Reversal would require improbable shifts in remaining Lima and overseas votes or court rulings overturning results.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$2,446,209
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Keiko Fujimori" con 99%, seguido de "Rafael López Aliaga" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" ha generado $2.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es "Keiko Fujimori" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.