The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflected in Cícero Lucena holding the highest share among named options while several other contenders cluster at lower probabilities. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Veritá shows an essentially even matchup between Lucena (MDB) and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP), with Efraim Filho (PL) in third place and room for runoff scenarios or shifts depending on turnout and alliances. Limited name recognition for additional candidates, undecided voters exceeding 20 percent in some surveys, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements in recent weeks have kept probabilities compressed. Separation could emerge from intensified coalition-building, clearer polling trends closer to the vote, or developments affecting key voting blocs in the state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Cícero Lucena 38%
Efraim Filho 15%
Romero Rodrigues 8.5%
Nilvan Ferreira 7.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Cícero Lucena
38%
Efraim Filho
15%
Romero Rodrigues
9%
Nilvan Ferreira
7%
Marcelo Queiroga
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
2%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Cícero Lucena 38%
Efraim Filho 15%
Romero Rodrigues 8.5%
Nilvan Ferreira 7.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Cícero Lucena
$2,869 Vol.
38%
Efraim Filho
$85 Vol.
15%
Romero Rodrigues
$233 Vol.
9%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 Vol.
7%
Marcelo Queiroga
$111 Vol.
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$1,078 Vol.
2%
Flávio Lúcio
$168 Vol.
2%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflected in Cícero Lucena holding the highest share among named options while several other contenders cluster at lower probabilities. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Veritá shows an essentially even matchup between Lucena (MDB) and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP), with Efraim Filho (PL) in third place and room for runoff scenarios or shifts depending on turnout and alliances. Limited name recognition for additional candidates, undecided voters exceeding 20 percent in some surveys, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements in recent weeks have kept probabilities compressed. Separation could emerge from intensified coalition-building, clearer polling trends closer to the vote, or developments affecting key voting blocs in the state.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volumen
$4,625Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflected in Cícero Lucena holding the highest share among named options while several other contenders cluster at lower probabilities. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Veritá shows an essentially even matchup between Lucena (MDB) and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP), with Efraim Filho (PL) in third place and room for runoff scenarios or shifts depending on turnout and alliances. Limited name recognition for additional candidates, undecided voters exceeding 20 percent in some surveys, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements in recent weeks have kept probabilities compressed. Separation could emerge from intensified coalition-building, clearer polling trends closer to the vote, or developments affecting key voting blocs in the state.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$4,625Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with trader consensus reflected in Cícero Lucena holding the highest share among named options while several other contenders cluster at lower probabilities. Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Veritá shows an essentially even matchup between Lucena (MDB) and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP), with Efraim Filho (PL) in third place and room for runoff scenarios or shifts depending on turnout and alliances. Limited name recognition for additional candidates, undecided voters exceeding 20 percent in some surveys, and the absence of major campaign events or endorsements in recent weeks have kept probabilities compressed. Separation could emerge from intensified coalition-building, clearer polling trends closer to the vote, or developments affecting key voting blocs in the state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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