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Política·Nueva York

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06
Política·Nueva York

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06

Grace Meng 49%

Yan Xiong 30.0%

Charles Park 17%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Grace Meng 49%

Yan Xiong 30.0%

Charles Park 17%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Grace Meng

$535 Vol.

49%

Yan Xiong

$530 Vol.

30%

Charles Park

$343 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for New York's 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, supported by establishment endorsements from State Sen. John Liu, retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and NYSUT amid her long tenure in the diverse Queens district anchored in Flushing. Challenger Yan Xiong holds 27.2%, drawing potential strength from Asian American voters in a seat noting recent Democratic shifts there, while Charles "Chuck" Park trails at 24% with rising grassroots momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April 17 endorsement, active canvassing in Woodside as of April 29, and a Flushing town hall on April 27 criticizing billionaire influence. Absent public polls, the split challenger field sustains Meng's narrow edge ahead of early voting and mail-in ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,407
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability for New York's 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, supported by establishment endorsements from State Sen. John Liu, retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and NYSUT amid her long tenure in the diverse Queens district anchored in Flushing. Challenger Yan Xiong holds 27.2%, drawing potential strength from Asian American voters in a seat noting recent Democratic shifts there, while Charles "Chuck" Park trails at 24% with rising grassroots momentum from Sunrise Movement NYC's April 17 endorsement, active canvassing in Woodside as of April 29, and a Flushing town hall on April 27 criticizing billionaire influence. Absent public polls, the split challenger field sustains Meng's narrow edge ahead of early voting and mail-in ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,407
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Grace Meng" con 49%, seguido de "Yan Xiong" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 19, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06" es "Grace Meng" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Yan Xiong" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-06" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.