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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Magdalena Andersson 62%

Ulf Kristersson 36%

Jimmie Åkesson 3.0%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,877,311 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 62%

Ulf Kristersson 36%

Jimmie Åkesson 3.0%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,877,311 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$63,215 Vol.

62%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$53,794 Vol.

36%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,338,863 Vol.

3%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$283,667 Vol.

1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$20,439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$19,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$20,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$36,338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$22,700 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$18,335 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Magdalena Andersson at 61.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026 general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats leading at 32-34% and their red-green bloc (S, V, MP) projecting 169 Riksdag seats, potentially securing a majority with pivotal Centre Party support. Ulf Kristersson trails at 36%, as his Tidö parties (M, KD, L, backed by SD) average 44-46% with 157 seats, hampered by Moderates at 18% and Sweden Democrats dipping to 19-20%. Late April polls from Demoskop and Indikator widened the opposition lead to 7-8 points despite Kristersson's April 1 overture to include SD in a future cabinet, which failed to boost right-bloc momentum. An Ipsos preferred PM survey reinforces Andersson at 36% versus Kristersson's 16%, underscoring voter preference amid coalition uncertainties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,877,311
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Magdalena Andersson at 61.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026 general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats leading at 32-34% and their red-green bloc (S, V, MP) projecting 169 Riksdag seats, potentially securing a majority with pivotal Centre Party support. Ulf Kristersson trails at 36%, as his Tidö parties (M, KD, L, backed by SD) average 44-46% with 157 seats, hampered by Moderates at 18% and Sweden Democrats dipping to 19-20%. Late April polls from Demoskop and Indikator widened the opposition lead to 7-8 points despite Kristersson's April 1 overture to include SD in a future cabinet, which failed to boost right-bloc momentum. An Ipsos preferred PM survey reinforces Andersson at 36% versus Kristersson's 16%, underscoring voter preference amid coalition uncertainties.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,877,311
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Magdalena Andersson" con 62%, seguido de "Ulf Kristersson" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" ha generado $1.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es "Magdalena Andersson" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ulf Kristersson" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.