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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

Janez Janša 91.3%

Robert Golob 2.6%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.9%

Polymarket

$2,944,050 Vol.

Janez Janša 91.3%

Robert Golob 2.6%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.9%

Polymarket

$2,944,050 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$741,957 Vol.

91%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$651,641 Vol.

3%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$984,287 Vol.

2%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$204,559 Vol.

2%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$12,606 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary elections, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 in the 90-seat National Assembly, Golob conceded on April 20 his inability to form a coalition government despite holding an absolute majority mandate of 46 votes. President Nataša Pirc Musar subsequently urged lawmakers on April 25 to nominate a viable candidate, paving the way for Janša, whose SDS-led bloc demonstrated commanding parliamentary support on April 29 by passing a Government Act reducing ministries from 19 to 14 with 49 favorable votes. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 91% reflects Janša's advanced coalition negotiations; realistic challenges include deadlock prompting a relative majority vote, holds by smaller parties like NSi or Resni.ca, or snap elections if no government forms within procedural deadlines.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,944,050
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary elections, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 in the 90-seat National Assembly, Golob conceded on April 20 his inability to form a coalition government despite holding an absolute majority mandate of 46 votes. President Nataša Pirc Musar subsequently urged lawmakers on April 25 to nominate a viable candidate, paving the way for Janša, whose SDS-led bloc demonstrated commanding parliamentary support on April 29 by passing a Government Act reducing ministries from 19 to 14 with 49 favorable votes. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 91% reflects Janša's advanced coalition negotiations; realistic challenges include deadlock prompting a relative majority vote, holds by smaller parties like NSi or Resni.ca, or snap elections if no government forms within procedural deadlines.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,944,050
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janez Janša" con 91%, seguido de "Robert Golob" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" ha generado $2.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es "Janez Janša" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Golob" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.