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Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 68.6%

Shimelis Abdisa 19.2%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$6,926,983 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 68.6%

Shimelis Abdisa 19.2%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$6,926,983 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$9,278 Vol.

69%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$140,723 Vol.

19%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$6,531,530 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$64,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$167,003 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$3,507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$3,586 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$6,471 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed holds the leading position in trader assessments for Ethiopia’s next prime minister, driven by his Prosperity Party’s expected dominance in the June 1, 2026 general election and its control of parliament, despite suspended voting in parts of Oromia and Amhara over security issues. Shimelis Abdisa, serving as both Oromia regional president and Abiy’s chief of staff, ranks second as a potential successor within the ruling circle, reflecting his administrative role and regional influence amid ongoing instability in key areas. Lower-probability figures such as Berhanu Nega and Demeke Mekonnen register minimal support, consistent with limited opposition viability following the election. The current pricing captures trader consensus on continuity under the incumbent administration while acknowledging risks from regional conflicts and procedural uncertainties in vote counting.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,926,983
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed holds the leading position in trader assessments for Ethiopia’s next prime minister, driven by his Prosperity Party’s expected dominance in the June 1, 2026 general election and its control of parliament, despite suspended voting in parts of Oromia and Amhara over security issues. Shimelis Abdisa, serving as both Oromia regional president and Abiy’s chief of staff, ranks second as a potential successor within the ruling circle, reflecting his administrative role and regional influence amid ongoing instability in key areas. Lower-probability figures such as Berhanu Nega and Demeke Mekonnen register minimal support, consistent with limited opposition viability following the election. The current pricing captures trader consensus on continuity under the incumbent administration while acknowledging risks from regional conflicts and procedural uncertainties in vote counting.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,926,983
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Abiy Ahmed" con 69%, seguido de "Shimelis Abdisa" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ha generado $6.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es "Abiy Ahmed" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Shimelis Abdisa" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.