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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

Bruce Blakeman 93%

Pat Hahn 3.7%

David Tulley 2.8%

Elise Stefanik 1.2%

Polymarket

$89,549 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman 93%

Pat Hahn 3.7%

David Tulley 2.8%

Elise Stefanik 1.2%

Polymarket

$89,549 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman

$12,135 Vol.

93%

Pat Hahn

$2,814 Vol.

4%

David Tulley

$41,081 Vol.

3%

Elise Stefanik

$11,633 Vol.

1%

Betsy McCaughey

$21,886 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the New York Governor Republican Primary reflects his February state GOP nominating convention endorsement, positioning him as the presumptive nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Recent developments bolstering trader consensus include GOP lawmakers' April 20 push for $100 million in matching funds amid disputes over campaign finance rules, his North Country campaign stops like the April 27 Clinton County visit, and reported backing from Donald Trump, enhancing his appeal among base voters focused on public safety and taxes. Challengers like Pat Hahn trail far behind due to limited name recognition and resources. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile late entry from figures like Elise Stefanik, a Blakeman scandal, or primary turnout surprises in a low-stakes contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$89,549
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the New York Governor Republican Primary reflects his February state GOP nominating convention endorsement, positioning him as the presumptive nominee ahead of the June 23 primary. Recent developments bolstering trader consensus include GOP lawmakers' April 20 push for $100 million in matching funds amid disputes over campaign finance rules, his North Country campaign stops like the April 27 Clinton County visit, and reported backing from Donald Trump, enhancing his appeal among base voters focused on public safety and taxes. Challengers like Pat Hahn trail far behind due to limited name recognition and resources. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile late entry from figures like Elise Stefanik, a Blakeman scandal, or primary turnout surprises in a low-stakes contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$89,549
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bruce Blakeman" con 93%, seguido de "Pat Hahn" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" ha generado $89.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es "Bruce Blakeman" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pat Hahn" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.