The open-seat Michigan Senate contest, following Gary Peters’s retirement, shows Democratic candidates holding a modest polling edge in head-to-head general-election surveys against likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent aggregates placing contenders such as Haley Stevens or Mallory McMorrow within one to three points. This positioning, combined with Michigan’s recent federal-election patterns and the state’s status as a competitive battleground, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome at 72.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the narrow margins and the still-unresolved Democratic primary on August 4 featuring Abdul El-Sayed, McMorrow, and Stevens. Late-May debates and primary endorsements have clarified candidate positioning but produced limited movement in general-election trial heats. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will likely determine whether the current implied probability narrows or widens ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Michigan
$116,765 Vol.
$116,765 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
73%
Republicano
28%
$116,765 Vol.
$116,765 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$82,910 Vol.
73%
Republicano
$33,855 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open-seat Michigan Senate contest, following Gary Peters’s retirement, shows Democratic candidates holding a modest polling edge in head-to-head general-election surveys against likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent aggregates placing contenders such as Haley Stevens or Mallory McMorrow within one to three points. This positioning, combined with Michigan’s recent federal-election patterns and the state’s status as a competitive battleground, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome at 72.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the narrow margins and the still-unresolved Democratic primary on August 4 featuring Abdul El-Sayed, McMorrow, and Stevens. Late-May debates and primary endorsements have clarified candidate positioning but produced limited movement in general-election trial heats. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will likely determine whether the current implied probability narrows or widens ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$116,765Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open-seat Michigan Senate contest, following Gary Peters’s retirement, shows Democratic candidates holding a modest polling edge in head-to-head general-election surveys against likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent aggregates placing contenders such as Haley Stevens or Mallory McMorrow within one to three points. This positioning, combined with Michigan’s recent federal-election patterns and the state’s status as a competitive battleground, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome at 72.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the narrow margins and the still-unresolved Democratic primary on August 4 featuring Abdul El-Sayed, McMorrow, and Stevens. Late-May debates and primary endorsements have clarified candidate positioning but produced limited movement in general-election trial heats. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will likely determine whether the current implied probability narrows or widens ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$116,765Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat Michigan Senate contest, following Gary Peters’s retirement, shows Democratic candidates holding a modest polling edge in head-to-head general-election surveys against likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent aggregates placing contenders such as Haley Stevens or Mallory McMorrow within one to three points. This positioning, combined with Michigan’s recent federal-election patterns and the state’s status as a competitive battleground, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome at 72.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting the narrow margins and the still-unresolved Democratic primary on August 4 featuring Abdul El-Sayed, McMorrow, and Stevens. Late-May debates and primary endorsements have clarified candidate positioning but produced limited movement in general-election trial heats. Upcoming primary results and fall polling will likely determine whether the current implied probability narrows or widens ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes