Exit polls released after Kerala's April 9 Legislative Assembly election polling, which saw high voter turnout across 140 constituencies, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure a majority with 69-78 seats, positioning INC as the frontrunner in trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability. This reflects anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, amid voter concerns over state debt, welfare delivery, and governance lapses, despite LDF's welfare schemes bolstering its 28% odds. Pre-poll surveys had indicated a tight bipolar contest between UDF and LDF, with NDA trailing far behind; vote counting on May 4 could confirm or shift these dynamics based on regional swings in northern and central districts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
INC 72%
CPI(M) 28%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$406,018 Vol.
$406,018 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
72%
CPI(M)
28%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
INC 72%
CPI(M) 28%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$406,018 Vol.
$406,018 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
$78,729 Vol.
72%
CPI(M)
$74,253 Vol.
28%
BSP
$20,179 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$36,765 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$26,849 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$17,062 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$16,092 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$68,764 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$49,497 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$17,829 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Exit polls released after Kerala's April 9 Legislative Assembly election polling, which saw high voter turnout across 140 constituencies, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure a majority with 69-78 seats, positioning INC as the frontrunner in trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability. This reflects anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, amid voter concerns over state debt, welfare delivery, and governance lapses, despite LDF's welfare schemes bolstering its 28% odds. Pre-poll surveys had indicated a tight bipolar contest between UDF and LDF, with NDA trailing far behind; vote counting on May 4 could confirm or shift these dynamics based on regional swings in northern and central districts.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$406,018Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Exit polls released after Kerala's April 9 Legislative Assembly election polling, which saw high voter turnout across 140 constituencies, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure a majority with 69-78 seats, positioning INC as the frontrunner in trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability. This reflects anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, amid voter concerns over state debt, welfare delivery, and governance lapses, despite LDF's welfare schemes bolstering its 28% odds. Pre-poll surveys had indicated a tight bipolar contest between UDF and LDF, with NDA trailing far behind; vote counting on May 4 could confirm or shift these dynamics based on regional swings in northern and central districts.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$406,018Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released after Kerala's April 9 Legislative Assembly election polling, which saw high voter turnout across 140 constituencies, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to secure a majority with 69-78 seats, positioning INC as the frontrunner in trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability. This reflects anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, amid voter concerns over state debt, welfare delivery, and governance lapses, despite LDF's welfare schemes bolstering its 28% odds. Pre-poll surveys had indicated a tight bipolar contest between UDF and LDF, with NDA trailing far behind; vote counting on May 4 could confirm or shift these dynamics based on regional swings in northern and central districts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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