Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Axis My India and Shining India Survey, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to win 70–92 seats in the 140-member house, fueling trader consensus on INC at 75% implied probability as the leading outcome for forming the next government. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a historic third term, trails at around 39–54 seats amid anti-incumbency over rising state debt, welfare delivery concerns, and governance fatigue after a decade in power. High voter turnout exceeding 77% underscores competitive bipolar dynamics, with BJP-led NDA marginal at 3 seats; results counting set for May 4 could shift odds on late surprises or hung scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
INC 75%
CPI(M) 26%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$379,313 Vol.
$379,313 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
75%
CPI(M)
26%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
INC 75%
CPI(M) 26%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$379,313 Vol.
$379,313 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
$63,381 Vol.
75%
CPI(M)
$62,896 Vol.
26%
BSP
$20,179 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$36,765 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$26,849 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$17,062 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$16,092 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$68,764 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$49,497 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$17,829 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Axis My India and Shining India Survey, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to win 70–92 seats in the 140-member house, fueling trader consensus on INC at 75% implied probability as the leading outcome for forming the next government. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a historic third term, trails at around 39–54 seats amid anti-incumbency over rising state debt, welfare delivery concerns, and governance fatigue after a decade in power. High voter turnout exceeding 77% underscores competitive bipolar dynamics, with BJP-led NDA marginal at 3 seats; results counting set for May 4 could shift odds on late surprises or hung scenarios.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$379,313Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Axis My India and Shining India Survey, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to win 70–92 seats in the 140-member house, fueling trader consensus on INC at 75% implied probability as the leading outcome for forming the next government. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a historic third term, trails at around 39–54 seats amid anti-incumbency over rising state debt, welfare delivery concerns, and governance fatigue after a decade in power. High voter turnout exceeding 77% underscores competitive bipolar dynamics, with BJP-led NDA marginal at 3 seats; results counting set for May 4 could shift odds on late surprises or hung scenarios.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$379,313Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent exit polls following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, including Axis My India and Shining India Survey, project the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) to win 70–92 seats in the 140-member house, fueling trader consensus on INC at 75% implied probability as the leading outcome for forming the next government. Incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), seeking a historic third term, trails at around 39–54 seats amid anti-incumbency over rising state debt, welfare delivery concerns, and governance fatigue after a decade in power. High voter turnout exceeding 77% underscores competitive bipolar dynamics, with BJP-led NDA marginal at 3 seats; results counting set for May 4 could shift odds on late surprises or hung scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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