Trader consensus heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC) at 76% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner, driven by anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, including voter fatigue over governance issues like welfare delivery delays and internal dissent. Polling concluded April 9 with over 78% turnout—higher than 2021—which UDF leaders claim bolsters their comeback in northern districts, aligning with late-March and early-April opinion polls like Manorama-C Voter projecting UDF 69 seats and others showing narrow edges over LDF's southern strongholds. NDA's BJP trails at negligible odds amid limited breakthroughs, with results pending May 4 counting in this alternating bipolar contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala
INC 76%
CPI(M) 24%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$380,327 Vol.
$380,327 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
76%
CPI(M)
24%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
INC 76%
CPI(M) 24%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
$380,327 Vol.
$380,327 Vol.
9 abr 2026
INC
$64,122 Vol.
76%
CPI(M)
$63,259 Vol.
24%
BSP
$20,179 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$36,765 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$26,849 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$17,062 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$16,092 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$68,764 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$49,497 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$17,829 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC) at 76% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner, driven by anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, including voter fatigue over governance issues like welfare delivery delays and internal dissent. Polling concluded April 9 with over 78% turnout—higher than 2021—which UDF leaders claim bolsters their comeback in northern districts, aligning with late-March and early-April opinion polls like Manorama-C Voter projecting UDF 69 seats and others showing narrow edges over LDF's southern strongholds. NDA's BJP trails at negligible odds amid limited breakthroughs, with results pending May 4 counting in this alternating bipolar contest.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$380,327Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC) at 76% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner, driven by anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, including voter fatigue over governance issues like welfare delivery delays and internal dissent. Polling concluded April 9 with over 78% turnout—higher than 2021—which UDF leaders claim bolsters their comeback in northern districts, aligning with late-March and early-April opinion polls like Manorama-C Voter projecting UDF 69 seats and others showing narrow edges over LDF's southern strongholds. NDA's BJP trails at negligible odds amid limited breakthroughs, with results pending May 4 counting in this alternating bipolar contest.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$380,327Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC) at 76% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner, driven by anti-incumbency against the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two consecutive terms since 2016, including voter fatigue over governance issues like welfare delivery delays and internal dissent. Polling concluded April 9 with over 78% turnout—higher than 2021—which UDF leaders claim bolsters their comeback in northern districts, aligning with late-March and early-April opinion polls like Manorama-C Voter projecting UDF 69 seats and others showing narrow edges over LDF's southern strongholds. NDA's BJP trails at negligible odds amid limited breakthroughs, with results pending May 4 counting in this alternating bipolar contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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