Exit polls released April 29 project a Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) majority of 70–90 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly, fueling trader bets on strong gains for Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), which contested 25–27 seats primarily in Malappuram and northern districts. Up from 15 seats in 2021, IUML benefits from minority realignment, anti-incumbency against the two-term Left Democratic Front (LDF) government under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, and high 78% turnout signaling voter fatigue. The tight 56.5% vs. 46.9% pricing between 19–21 and 22+ seats reflects varying poll margins and LDF/NDA challenges in overlapping projections, with final counts on May 4 poised to resolve uncertainties amid historical exit poll discrepancies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
19–21 54%
22+ 44.0%
16–18 34.1%
10–12 25%
$11,244 Vol.
$11,244 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<10
6%
10–12
25%
13–15
24%
16–18
34%
19–21
54%
22+
44%
19–21 54%
22+ 44.0%
16–18 34.1%
10–12 25%
$11,244 Vol.
$11,244 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<10
$305 Vol.
6%
10–12
$130 Vol.
25%
13–15
$110 Vol.
24%
16–18
$10,399 Vol.
34%
19–21
$50 Vol.
54%
22+
$249 Vol.
44%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Exit polls released April 29 project a Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) majority of 70–90 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly, fueling trader bets on strong gains for Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), which contested 25–27 seats primarily in Malappuram and northern districts. Up from 15 seats in 2021, IUML benefits from minority realignment, anti-incumbency against the two-term Left Democratic Front (LDF) government under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, and high 78% turnout signaling voter fatigue. The tight 56.5% vs. 46.9% pricing between 19–21 and 22+ seats reflects varying poll margins and LDF/NDA challenges in overlapping projections, with final counts on May 4 poised to resolve uncertainties amid historical exit poll discrepancies.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
Volumen
$11,244Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Exit polls released April 29 project a Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) majority of 70–90 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly, fueling trader bets on strong gains for Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), which contested 25–27 seats primarily in Malappuram and northern districts. Up from 15 seats in 2021, IUML benefits from minority realignment, anti-incumbency against the two-term Left Democratic Front (LDF) government under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, and high 78% turnout signaling voter fatigue. The tight 56.5% vs. 46.9% pricing between 19–21 and 22+ seats reflects varying poll margins and LDF/NDA challenges in overlapping projections, with final counts on May 4 poised to resolve uncertainties amid historical exit poll discrepancies.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$11,244Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Exit polls released April 29 project a Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) majority of 70–90 seats in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly, fueling trader bets on strong gains for Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), which contested 25–27 seats primarily in Malappuram and northern districts. Up from 15 seats in 2021, IUML benefits from minority realignment, anti-incumbency against the two-term Left Democratic Front (LDF) government under Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, and high 78% turnout signaling voter fatigue. The tight 56.5% vs. 46.9% pricing between 19–21 and 22+ seats reflects varying poll margins and LDF/NDA challenges in overlapping projections, with final counts on May 4 poised to resolve uncertainties amid historical exit poll discrepancies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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