Skip to main content
icon for ¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?

icon for ¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?
Política·Elecciones Globales

¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?

19–21 51%

22+ 49.6%

10–12 45%

16–18 34.5%

Polymarket

$11,244 Vol.

19–21 51%

22+ 49.6%

10–12 45%

16–18 34.5%

Polymarket

$11,244 Vol.

<10

$305 Vol.

6%

10–12

$130 Vol.

45%

13–15

$110 Vol.

24%

16–18

$10,399 Vol.

35%

19–21

$50 Vol.

51%

22+

$249 Vol.

50%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).With Kerala Legislative Assembly elections held on April 9 amid record 78% turnout, trader consensus splits evenly on Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) seats at 22+ (50%) versus 10–12 (50%), reflecting uncertainty in the UDF alliance's projected majority despite anti-incumbency eroding LDF's two-term hold. Exit polls from Axis My India (UDF 84 seats) and Chanakya (UDF 69±9) signal IUML gains in its 26 contested strongholds like Malappuram and Wayanad, where Muslim voter consolidation boosted UDF leads, yet some forecasts cap IUML at 22–24 amid BJP's minor inroads splitting opposition votes in minority seats. Pre-result Congress CM debates drew IUML concerns over alliance optics, keeping the race tight; May 4 counting could separate outcomes via turnout in battlegrounds or recounts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.

If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$11,244
Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).With Kerala Legislative Assembly elections held on April 9 amid record 78% turnout, trader consensus splits evenly on Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) seats at 22+ (50%) versus 10–12 (50%), reflecting uncertainty in the UDF alliance's projected majority despite anti-incumbency eroding LDF's two-term hold. Exit polls from Axis My India (UDF 84 seats) and Chanakya (UDF 69±9) signal IUML gains in its 26 contested strongholds like Malappuram and Wayanad, where Muslim voter consolidation boosted UDF leads, yet some forecasts cap IUML at 22–24 amid BJP's minor inroads splitting opposition votes in minority seats. Pre-result Congress CM debates drew IUML concerns over alliance optics, keeping the race tight; May 4 counting could separate outcomes via turnout in battlegrounds or recounts.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.

If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volumen
$11,244
Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "19–21" con 51%, seguido de "22+" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?" ha generado $11.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?" es "19–21" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22+" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántos escaños ganará IUML en las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Kerala?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.