Latest numerical weather prediction models, including regional forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, project a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 1 under partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, positioning this outcome at an 80.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects strong alignment with diurnal heating from morning readings near 23°C. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 25-27°C amid spring warming and typical Yangtze River basin humidity levels of 40-60%, reducing extremes. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, though patchy rain risks (forecast probability ~10-20%) could limit peaks to 25°C (3.5%), while sunnier breaks might yield 27°C (5.8%). China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations through evening will refine the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
26°C 80%
27°C 15.5%
28°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
$47,217 Vol.
$47,217 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
80%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 80%
27°C 15.5%
28°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
$47,217 Vol.
$47,217 Vol.
1 may 2026
23°C
$3,962 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,281 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,975 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,208 Vol.
80%
27°C
$2,602 Vol.
16%
28°C
$4,022 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,434 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$4,038 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including regional forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, project a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 1 under partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, positioning this outcome at an 80.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects strong alignment with diurnal heating from morning readings near 23°C. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 25-27°C amid spring warming and typical Yangtze River basin humidity levels of 40-60%, reducing extremes. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, though patchy rain risks (forecast probability ~10-20%) could limit peaks to 25°C (3.5%), while sunnier breaks might yield 27°C (5.8%). China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations through evening will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$47,217Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including regional forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, project a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 1 under partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, positioning this outcome at an 80.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects strong alignment with diurnal heating from morning readings near 23°C. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 25-27°C amid spring warming and typical Yangtze River basin humidity levels of 40-60%, reducing extremes. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, though patchy rain risks (forecast probability ~10-20%) could limit peaks to 25°C (3.5%), while sunnier breaks might yield 27°C (5.8%). China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations through evening will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$47,217Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including regional forecasts for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, project a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 1 under partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, positioning this outcome at an 80.5% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects strong alignment with diurnal heating from morning readings near 23°C. Early May climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 25-27°C amid spring warming and typical Yangtze River basin humidity levels of 40-60%, reducing extremes. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, though patchy rain risks (forecast probability ~10-20%) could limit peaks to 25°C (3.5%), while sunnier breaks might yield 27°C (5.8%). China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations through evening will refine the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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