MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 2 high temperature at 16°C under fine conditions and developing northerlies, driving trader sentiment with 17°C (39.5%) narrowly leading 16°C (33.5%) due to ensemble model spreads showing slight upside potential from warmer northerly air advection and enhanced insolation. Recent days logged highs near 15°C amid stable autumn patterns, but NIWA's seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures (50% chance), adding to optimism for 17°C. Key differentiators include northerly wind timing—earlier strengthening could boost mixing and peaks—versus partial cloud risks capping at 16°C. Watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
17°C 40%
16°C 33%
18°C 18%
15°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,938 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,938 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
33%
17°C
40%
18°C
18%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 40%
16°C 33%
18°C 18%
15°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,938 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,938 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
$806 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,341 Vol.
1%
14°C
$782 Vol.
1%
15°C
$698 Vol.
8%
16°C
$1,265 Vol.
33%
17°C
$982 Vol.
40%
18°C
$1,069 Vol.
18%
19°C
$1,875 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,496 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 2 high temperature at 16°C under fine conditions and developing northerlies, driving trader sentiment with 17°C (39.5%) narrowly leading 16°C (33.5%) due to ensemble model spreads showing slight upside potential from warmer northerly air advection and enhanced insolation. Recent days logged highs near 15°C amid stable autumn patterns, but NIWA's seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures (50% chance), adding to optimism for 17°C. Key differentiators include northerly wind timing—earlier strengthening could boost mixing and peaks—versus partial cloud risks capping at 16°C. Watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$11,938Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 2 high temperature at 16°C under fine conditions and developing northerlies, driving trader sentiment with 17°C (39.5%) narrowly leading 16°C (33.5%) due to ensemble model spreads showing slight upside potential from warmer northerly air advection and enhanced insolation. Recent days logged highs near 15°C amid stable autumn patterns, but NIWA's seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures (50% chance), adding to optimism for 17°C. Key differentiators include northerly wind timing—earlier strengthening could boost mixing and peaks—versus partial cloud risks capping at 16°C. Watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,938Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 2 high temperature at 16°C under fine conditions and developing northerlies, driving trader sentiment with 17°C (39.5%) narrowly leading 16°C (33.5%) due to ensemble model spreads showing slight upside potential from warmer northerly air advection and enhanced insolation. Recent days logged highs near 15°C amid stable autumn patterns, but NIWA's seasonal outlook favors above-average temperatures (50% chance), adding to optimism for 17°C. Key differentiators include northerly wind timing—earlier strengthening could boost mixing and peaks—versus partial cloud risks capping at 16°C. Watch MetService's midday update for refined guidance as boundary layer forecasts evolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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