Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 19°C in Toronto on May 15 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the market-implied 28.5% probability for that outcome as the trader consensus. Close competition from 18°C (24%) and 20°C (18.5%) reflects subtle divergences in short-range models like GEM and GFS, where variations in afternoon cloud cover and insolation could cap or boost peak diurnal heating by 1–2°C. This follows a warming trend after cooler, overcast days earlier in the week—highs of 12–15°C on May 12–13—now transitioning to a ridge aloft favoring mild conditions. Final hourly observations from Pearson International Airport will resolve the market, with low risk of outliers given stable synoptic patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 15 de mayo?
19°C 30%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C o más
5%
19°C 30%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 12%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 19°C in Toronto on May 15 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the market-implied 28.5% probability for that outcome as the trader consensus. Close competition from 18°C (24%) and 20°C (18.5%) reflects subtle divergences in short-range models like GEM and GFS, where variations in afternoon cloud cover and insolation could cap or boost peak diurnal heating by 1–2°C. This follows a warming trend after cooler, overcast days earlier in the week—highs of 12–15°C on May 12–13—now transitioning to a ridge aloft favoring mild conditions. Final hourly observations from Pearson International Airport will resolve the market, with low risk of outliers given stable synoptic patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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