Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-term forecasts and model consensus point to a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region delivering peak temperatures around 25°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 2, fueling the 66.5% trader consensus for 25°C or higher and 31% for exactly 24°C. Recent late-April observations logged above-normal highs averaging 23-24°C amid a warm spring anomaly confirmed by JMA's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures through May, contrasting historical May 2 averages near 22-23°C. Light winds and ample sunshine enhance daytime heating potential, though cloud cover could cap peaks at 24°C; updated JMA guidance expected midday May 1 may refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
25°C or higher 71%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,276 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
71%
25°C or higher 71%
24°C 27%
23°C 6%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,276 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,276 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$1,950 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,593 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,179 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,699 Vol.
1%
19°C
$789 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,707 Vol.
1%
23°C
$839 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,382 Vol.
27%
25°C or higher
$1,645 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-term forecasts and model consensus point to a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region delivering peak temperatures around 25°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 2, fueling the 66.5% trader consensus for 25°C or higher and 31% for exactly 24°C. Recent late-April observations logged above-normal highs averaging 23-24°C amid a warm spring anomaly confirmed by JMA's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures through May, contrasting historical May 2 averages near 22-23°C. Light winds and ample sunshine enhance daytime heating potential, though cloud cover could cap peaks at 24°C; updated JMA guidance expected midday May 1 may refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$16,276Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-term forecasts and model consensus point to a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region delivering peak temperatures around 25°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 2, fueling the 66.5% trader consensus for 25°C or higher and 31% for exactly 24°C. Recent late-April observations logged above-normal highs averaging 23-24°C amid a warm spring anomaly confirmed by JMA's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures through May, contrasting historical May 2 averages near 22-23°C. Light winds and ample sunshine enhance daytime heating potential, though cloud cover could cap peaks at 24°C; updated JMA guidance expected midday May 1 may refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,276Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-term forecasts and model consensus point to a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region delivering peak temperatures around 25°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 2, fueling the 66.5% trader consensus for 25°C or higher and 31% for exactly 24°C. Recent late-April observations logged above-normal highs averaging 23-24°C amid a warm spring anomaly confirmed by JMA's seasonal outlook for elevated temperatures through May, contrasting historical May 2 averages near 22-23°C. Light winds and ample sunshine enhance daytime heating potential, though cloud cover could cap peaks at 24°C; updated JMA guidance expected midday May 1 may refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes