Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project Seattle's high temperature on May 2 around 70-72°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering warm subsidence and mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds for 72°F or higher to 60.5%—well above the early May climatological average of 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this warming trend with reduced onshore flow limiting marine cooling, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential weak troughs nudging temps lower into the 70-71°F bin at 29%. Traders anticipate minor adjustments from tomorrow's forecast updates, as historical spring patterns show high variability tied to Pacific steering currents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 2?
72°F or higher 62%
70-71°F 28%
68-69°F 9%
66-67°F 2.1%
NUEVO
$11,364 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,364 Vol.
2 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72°F or higher
62%
72°F or higher 62%
70-71°F 28%
68-69°F 9%
66-67°F 2.1%
NUEVO
$11,364 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,364 Vol.
2 may 2026
53°F or below
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$786 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$946 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$694 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$911 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,730 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,071 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$1,305 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$976 Vol.
28%
72°F or higher
$1,151 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project Seattle's high temperature on May 2 around 70-72°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering warm subsidence and mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds for 72°F or higher to 60.5%—well above the early May climatological average of 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this warming trend with reduced onshore flow limiting marine cooling, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential weak troughs nudging temps lower into the 70-71°F bin at 29%. Traders anticipate minor adjustments from tomorrow's forecast updates, as historical spring patterns show high variability tied to Pacific steering currents.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$11,364Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project Seattle's high temperature on May 2 around 70-72°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering warm subsidence and mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds for 72°F or higher to 60.5%—well above the early May climatological average of 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this warming trend with reduced onshore flow limiting marine cooling, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential weak troughs nudging temps lower into the 70-71°F bin at 29%. Traders anticipate minor adjustments from tomorrow's forecast updates, as historical spring patterns show high variability tied to Pacific steering currents.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,364Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA project Seattle's high temperature on May 2 around 70-72°F under a building upper-level ridge fostering warm subsidence and mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds for 72°F or higher to 60.5%—well above the early May climatological average of 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this warming trend with reduced onshore flow limiting marine cooling, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential weak troughs nudging temps lower into the 70-71°F bin at 29%. Traders anticipate minor adjustments from tomorrow's forecast updates, as historical spring patterns show high variability tied to Pacific steering currents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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